Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s a surge of summer air taking control of our pattern for a few days, but showers and storms are getting ready to ramp up. This increase in showers and storms looks to hang tough right on into Kentucky Derby Weekend.

Temps out there today are deep into the 80s for much of the bluegrass state. I can’t rule out a scattered shower or storm going up, but most areas stay dry…

Wednesday looks even warmer with the potential for mid to upper 80s in some spots for parts of the region. That only happens with enough sunshine, but it’s certainly a possibility. Winds are going to crank during this time and a few late day showers and storms are possible. This is just ahead of a big severe weather outbreak to our west, but a few strong storms may try to sneak into western Kentucky. Here’s the Wednesday Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC…

Showers and thunderstorms will increase on Thursday and a few could be on the strong side. This begins a stormy period that goes through Oaks Day and into Derby Day…

The models are spitting out some decent totals during this time. The European Model has some 2″+ amounts  through Saturday…

The longer range European seasonal model that goes through the middle of June continues with a wet look for much of the country. Check out how much real estate is above normal…

That looks like a big severe weather maker of a spring taking shape. It also means true summer heat may have a very hard time again this summer. Sound familiar?

Have a great day and take care.