Tracking The Severe Storms Potential

Good Thursday, folks. We have a busy weather day taking shape as a strong cold front works in from the west. This boundary will touch off showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for severe storms to fire up. This same front is going to slow down right on top of us and that spells bad news for Mother’s Day Weekend.

Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes can’t be ruled out this afternoon and evening as storms develop. The greatest risk is across central and western parts of the state. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Heavy rains may also cause a few local high water issues to develop. Speaking of heavy rain, that looks to be the case for the weekend ahead.

This same front puts the brakes on across the state, leading to a few more showers early Friday. Low pressure develops along the front and rolls in here later Saturday into Sunday. Heavy rains appear to be a good bet, possibly leading to some flooding issues.

The European Model continues to show a lot of rain from today through Sunday…

Cool temps will accompany the rain and continue into next week. The European Model has a very cool Monday…

It even shows the possibility of upper 30s by Tuesday morning…

Ugh.

Here are your severe weather tracking tools for the day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.


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8 Responses to Tracking The Severe Storms Potential

  1. Tennmark says:

    Thanks, CB! IIRC just a few days ago, the Slight Risk of severe t-storms for today was maybe as far north as Memphis. Now it’s almost to Cincinnati. We shall see.

    From the SPC’s 0600Z/2am Eastern/1am Central update, there’s a 2% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of any one point for western and central areas in both Kentucky and Tennessee. Thus a low but not zero tornado threat. Damaging straight line winds may be the risk with the highest chances.

  2. Jeff Irvin says:

    Won’t all the energy be sucked down to the storms in the South?

  3. Russell says:

    Yuck yuck yuck Mothers Day looks to be messy…..thank you rain train not!

  4. Virgil E says:

    Im just going to call it, no Severe Weather for Kentucky

    • Terry says:

      It is strange how the energy from the plaines seems to be diving SE this year. The low pressure systems have mostly been on a path that leaves the Colorado, 4 corner region and ejects straight towards the far western Great Lakes/High Plaines with severe weather in the sothern Plaines not making it east into KY as new low pressures form closer to the Gulf. Not been a favorable severe weather pattern for KY.

      • Virgil E says:

        Not since 2012 has Kentucky in my view seen a Severe weather Pattern. Sure, we have had a day or two here and there every year of Severe Weather but Simply not one where we actually had widespread severe weather across Central and Eastern Kentucky.

  5. Bobt says:

    Just in time for the weekend..

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