Good Monday, everyone. Our new week is off and running on a gloomy and cool note, but warmer days are ahead. Obviously, the pattern can’t get much cooler than it’s been for the past several days. This warmer pattern kicks in for the second half of the week and into the weekend. It may also bring some storms back into the mix.
A strong northwesterly flow is firmly established out there today as another disturbance dives in. This will fire up scattered showers, gusty winds and cool temps. We may also get in on a few small hail producers before all is said and done. Here’s regional radar to play along…
Highs today range from the middle 50s to low 60s for many. Just like our Sunday, our wind will make it feel chilly at times.
Temps on Tuesday start in the 40-45 degree range for many and will recover into the middle and upper 60s for highs. Some low 70s will also be noted across the west, but this is another much cooler than normal temperature day.
The chance for a few storms will kick back in for Wednesday as a weak front drops in from the northwest…
Warm and humid air looks to try and surge in here behind that later this week…
A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms may be roaming around on the leading edge of those summer numbers…
That warm and juicy air pushes in for the weekend as another front drops in from the northwest. That may really set us up with a stormy pattern later in the weekend into next week…
There’s a little late May of 2004 look to the upcoming pattern. That was a super quiet severe weather season until things went boom late in May.
Have a great Monday and take care.
Wow. Who would of thought that rain chances increase for the weekend? On a good note our streak of DRY Tuesdays looks to continue..
Yes, I’ve checked the recent forecast. They are now calling for a dry Monday-Thursday, and a stormy Friday-Sunday, again!
Funny they were all calling for a nice dry, sunny weekend a couple of days ago. Not anymore! You knew it would change eventually.
Funny, it seems like we have been stuck in this
“sunny week stormy weekend” rut for quite some time now. It’s not just a recent phenomenon.
And Tuesday looks to be the best day of the week, again!
As much as things change, things stay the same. Lol.
I remember very well how crazy bad the late May 2004 outbreak was. We actually had 2 weak tornadoes touch down in Harlan County and do damage (EF0 AND EF1)! Also, we had widespread wind damage which doesn’t happen too often in my rugged terrain in far SE KY.
Terry, I did some study of the climate in southeast Kentucky and found out that the area is in a micro climate. More of a cooler (night temperatures) humid than the climate of the rest of the state, and like you mentioned in an earlier post gets most of the snow compared to other areas of the state. Hang in there as next winter may be snowy and break that snow drought your area has been in for quite sometime. Hope the Mountain Laurel blooms big time for you soon. I would be willing to take a drive down to Harlan to see the botanical areas but, I don’t drive anymore and I guess you could call me a” shut in.” LOL
Terry, a possible (if rare chance) way of having stronger tornadoes in SE Kentucky may be the equivalent of the June 1944 Appalachian Outbreak… by far West Virginia’s deadliest with multiple F4s. This 1944 event seemingly got much of its tornadic energy over flat terrain in Indiana/Ohio and then did a very rare thing by moving to the southeast into WV.
Otherwise, as we know it’s rare for tornadoes to visit southeast KY. Rugged terrain seems to interfere with tornado genesis (but NOT already formed tornadoes). True, downtown Middlesboro KY had an F3 in 1988. An 1933 F4 wiped out Pruden TN but thankfully ended just short of Middlesboro. But even the 1974 Super Outbreak failed to effect southeast KY much tornado-wise although southern West Virginia had another rare F4 that traversed the New River Gorge!
Of course, March 2 2012 had several F3s in rugged E KY.
After that severe weather outbreak in Late May, 2004 was the summer in never hit 90 degrees in Lexington and we had some lows in the 40’s in August.
I don’t remember any severe weather and there is no mention of any damage from storms where I was living in southwest Indiana in the year 2004. The summer though was cool and wetter than normal. The biggest weather event that really stands out was the major snowstorm in December which fell just in time for Christmas Day. Twenty two inches of snow was recorded officially at Dress Regional Airport in Evansville, Indiana. Unfortunately all the snow melted before New Years Day 2005 and the rest of the winter was mild with not a flake of snow recorded. UGH !
I only vaguely recall a May 2004 F4 in Missouri which caused several fatalities. I do remember that year a family trip to the top of Lookout Mountain above Chattanooga TN and it being cloudy/chilly despite it being summer.
But I don’t think I had heard of the 2004 F3 in Lexington KY. Had to look it up. Wiki says path length was thankfully only three miles and the path was in a somewhat more rural part of Lexington. But the pics of homes with F3 destruction indicate it was fortunate there was no loss of life or more injuries.
I remember May 2004 very well. Louisville had a few supercell storms that moved over the area that day. If I recall correctly it was a warm front that spawned a lot of those tornadic storms as it moved northward. I remember vividly chasing a supercell that had a funnel cloud as it moved across southern Jefferson County. Eventually the storm produced a tornado over Shelby county where it hit a church. I’ll never forget that day.