Interesting Pattern Ahead

Good Tuesday, folks. We have a fairly interesting pattern ahead as a system comes from land and develops into a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. That same system then tries to do a little loop and heads back to where it all started. Will it have a direct impact on our weather? We shall see.

Here in the bluegrass state, today is a mainly dry day, but a stray shower or storm may flare up across the south and southeast…

Wednesday finds a cold front dropping toward the region from the northwest. Temps are around 90 ahead of this with a heat index low and mid 90s for some. Winds should gust up with a few showers and storms going up. As the front moves in Wednesday night and Thursday, thunderstorms increase…

By this time, we are likely dealing with a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. “Barry” to be continues to be highlighted by the National Hurricane Center…

Here’s the latest forecasts from the various hurricane models…

The GFS Ensembles…

As you can see, there’s still quite the spread on where Barry will make landfall. The European Model continues to go a little farther west toward the Louisiana/Texas border…

The inland track on the Euro has also shifted farther west…

Again, there are a lot of questions as to how strong this gets and where it comes ashore. Those have to be answered before knowing if this can directly impact our weather.

As mentioned in recent posts, this kind of setup can produce some real deal heat around here!

Have a great day and take care.


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8 Responses to Interesting Pattern Ahead

  1. BH says:

    I guess if the Gulf States get flooding rains they can blame it on Kentucky because that’s where Chris said it started from. Lol.

  2. Schroeder says:

    My sister who lives on the west coast of Florida told me the other day that the water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is eighty eight degrees and that the ” Red Tide algae ” along with another type of ” toxic algae ” that came down the Mississippi River from all the melted snow along with the flooding rains the central plains experience this past Spring. As a result the beaches are closed. Just checked the Gulf weather and there is now a 50 % chance of tropical development. Chris, I don’t like the “real deal heat” that may be coming our way. I just hope my air conditioning holds out the rest of the Summer and the way it looks on the extended the heat wave coming will probably last well into Autumn ? I guess this is going to be our weather pattern change or if you prefer climate change.

  3. Schroeder says:

    My sister who lives on the west coast of Florida told me the other day that the water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is eighty eight degrees and that the ” Red Tide algae ” along with another type of ” toxic algae ” that came down the Mississippi River from all the melted snow along with the flooding rains the central plains experience this past Spring. As a result the beaches are closed. Just checked the Gulf weather and there is now a 50 % chance of tropical development. Chris, I don’t like the “real deal heat” that may be coming our way. I just hope my air conditioning holds out the rest of the Summer and the way it looks on the extended the heat wave coming will probably last well into Autumn ? I guess this is going to be our weather pattern change or if you prefer climate change.

    • BH says:

      I went swimming one time in NC and it was like getting into a hot bath tub. You weren’t going to cool off that’s for sure.

    • Schroeder says:

      I goof up my computer. My depressing post was posted twice. Even though I’m having a bad day and not feeling well doesn’t mean everyone else has to suffer. Have a great afternoon and evening everyone !

  4. Winterlover says:

    So much for the cooler air that was in long rang forecast for the month of July. Oh well it is summer after all. As far him talking about real deal heat I think we’re already in that mold already

    • Terry says:

      Heat index in Harlan right now is 97 thanks to my tropical dewpoint over 70! You all will really get hot out west in the coming dats. I remember someone saying back in May that they thought this summer would be a repeat of 2004 when almost no area hit 90…wrong! It isnt the hottest summer ever but certainly been toasty thanks the excessive humidity.

  5. Mike S says:

    As expected, the 12-month period from July 2018-June 2019 wettest on record for Kentucky and several states. It was also wettest ever nationally.
    4th warmest in Kentucky during last 12 months

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