Good Friday, folks. The first weekend of August is kicking off with a scattering of showers and thunderstorms across the bluegrass state. This action now looks to increase over the next few days as a stalled boundary becomes a little more active. The pattern following that has a cooler and active look to it for next week.
Our Friday will feature those afternoon and evening thunderstorms flaring up. We should see a little better coverage today compared to Thursday and any storm that goes up may briefly become strong or severe. These storms will also be prolific lightning and rain producers that can cause local high water issues. Your tracking toys in a bit.
The weekend will feature better coverage of the showers and storms than what I was thinking a few days ago. This action will once again come mainly during the afternoon and evening hours, but won’t be limited to those timeframes. The greatest concentration will be across central and eastern Kentucky, with more scattered action in the north and west.
The models are showing some decent totals through the weekend…
Again, this is NOT going to be all day rains on any one day. Many dry hours will continue to show up.
A check of the tropics finds the system off the southeastern coast not doing much at all. The system in the Atlantic is still forecast to intensify…
That storm may wind up struggling to get too far to the west and that’s especially the case if the big trough settles in next week. The models have been all over this for a while, but the European is speeding up the arrival time of this next week…
That’s one major trough with a lot of cool air taking control of the eastern half of the country. Bring it on!
Here are your Friday tracking tools to keep you company…
Make it a great day and take care.
I’m just completely not understanding at all this whole cooler talk that shows up week after week. Just doesn’t pan out numbers don’t lie take Louisville for a example Louisville recorded its 12th hottest July ever. Yes we have had a few cool shots here and there but in general the heat has definitely dominated. Granted nothing extreme but still temperatures on a average have been above the norm especially for the month of July.
Actually, the entire year-to-date is running above average. June was the coolest month compared to average so far. Last week was very cool but not cool enough to fully push July below average. Yeah, I can understand what you are saying. With the oscillations in favor, it probably will be a fairly cool August, however. Time will tell. I know the ‘cooler’ constantly advertised last winter surely didnt work out but Chris did admit it later on at the end if winter.
Terry those oscillations can stay all negative as I wish for a colder and snowier Winter. I just hope we have an active Subtropical Jet Stream to supply the moisture for snow not ice this Fall and Winter. With the prediction of an ENSO neutral this coming Winter, all the snow may be lake effect and not from any organize storm system ? We really need a weak El nino to get an active snowstorm Winter here in the state of Kentucky.
Sometimes, a complete neutral ENSO favors harsh/snowy winters in our region too.
A weak El nino is needed as it is the Subtropical Jet (+) and a Polar Jet (-) have to combine over the southern Rockies to form a real snowstorm for our region. We don’t get real snowstorms from the Northwest just the Alberta Clipper type storms which only manage a few inches of snow unless you live in the mountains of eastern West Virginia.
I understand what you are saying and a weak El Nino is usually good for our region for increased snow chances, but it isn’t always required to have a bad winter as the subjet can still be active enough during a neutral winter as well.
Terry I guess we have no choice but to wait and see if all comes together. Not really knowing makes this weather pattern we are currently in very interesting and it gets me stirred up like today. Sorry everyone with all with the comments.
At my place here in the hills of central Kentucky we had about three days of 92 degrees in July and the rest in the mid to upper eighties. The dew point was in the upper 60’s to 70 degrees for many days and the early morning temperatures in the mid 60’s to upper 60’s. Not that bad compared to where I grew up in the Wabash River bottoms in Indiana.
The forecast for my area of central Kentucky is for highs in the mid to upper eighties Monday through Wednesday with slight chances of showers everyday. Late next week the highs will drop to the low eighties with lower dew points. Cold front for late next week doesn’t look as potent as it does for the Northeast part of the country. I guess that huge high pressure presently out west is going to move east and ruin our chances for some really cool late Summer air ?
The tropical activity will only escalate as we get closer to the end of August and early September. All that abnormally warm surface sea temperatures of the middle Atlantic ” fuel for the fire. ” All we need is the energy to combine to make the hurricane or tropical storm.
Well, my 1 day dry stretch is over! I am getting pounded here and already over a quarter of an inch in about 8 minutes. Super humid too with dewpoint in low 70s.