Good Thursday, everyone. We have another cold front dropping into the region and this will increase the threat for showers and thunderstorms late today into Friday. Some of these storms may be on the strong or severe side as our August pattern stays very active.
Today is mainly dry until late in the afternoon or evening. That’s when a line of showers and storms approaches from the north and northwest. As mentioned, the atmosphere is capable of throwing a few severe storms our way and the SPC has parts of the region in the severe weather risk area…
Damaging winds and large hail are, as usual, the main severe weather players. In addition to the severe threat, these storms will have a lot of lightning and torrential rain with them. Local high water issues will be possible.
The threat for showers and storms will linger into Friday as the front sags farther south. We will need to be on guard for a complex of storms rolling eastward across the state. Keep that in mind. Temps come back down and should wind up feeling great later Friday into Saturday!
Temps recover quickly later Sunday into Monday as humidity levels climb. This may set the stage for northwest to southeast moving storms during this time. That would be ahead of another cold front sweeping in here by the middle of the week…
After some early week sizzle, the numbers come right back down…
Here are your late Thursday storm trackers…
Have a great day and take care.
Yesterday, was a fairly decent late Summer day with mostly sunny skies and light winds and this mornings low a cool 63 degrees with dense fog in and around the surrounding hills. Rain is needed in a lot of areas of western Kentucky and central Kentucky as well as farms in southern Indiana and south along the Ohio River in Kentucky. I looked up the drought monitor and outlook on Weather Street Site and did not show any drought in southern Indiana or the whole state of Kentucky as of yet.
That persistent upper level high pressure out to our southwest this morning shows no signs of movement to the east until late this afternoon. Thunderstorms with high potential are indicated over most of the state of Ohio around the periphery of the high pressure. Tomorrows forecast for my area of Kentucky is for a 50% chance of showers, but showers have been in our forecast everyday for the last three weeks at least. These weak disturbances over the last several days from the northwest have just been giving our area warm and dry days and pleasant mornings like August suppose to be.
Just for fun I check out the Arctic and found the Polar low situated over on or near Hudson Bay with it’s a*s*s*ociated trough to the south and east. Maybe some of that cool air is colliding with the warm, dry rising air over central Ohio this afternoon bringing them that watch for severe weather ? The GFS weather model that Chris presented this morning for mid August has been showing up since the middle of July. Are these just signals that Chris is showing for a cooler, clearer weather pattern change for the middle of the month and beyond or what ?
Scientist say ” As the Earth’s axial tilt increases, the seasonal contrast increases so that Winters are colder and Summers are warmer.” This in my opinion is what happened back in the late 1970’s. Whether this will occur again is questionable. We are entering a cooler cycle of Solar activity as I’ve had said in an earlier post but we won’t feel the ” Big Change” for several years scientist say.
Huh??? The numbers come right back down? To what average normal highs for a couple of days and then shoot right back up? The next 10 days showing the coolest high of 88 degrees and the rest low to mid 90’s.
I was reading a post from the NWS in Louisville and some Louisville local meteorologists since July 4th the Louisville area and surrounding counties are 4 inches below normal in the rainfall department. Louisville has had 43 days and counting of 90+ degree temperatures Louisville averages 37 days. The heat coming for early next week maybe the hottest of the season due to the lack of rain it’s dry. Bottom line these fronts are not doing a darn thing for most but dropping the heat index down a bit and bring temperatures back to normal for a couple of days. With some isolated fortunate folks getting much needed rain. In general it’s been a hot and dry summer.
Wrong! It’s always rainy with cold fronts plowing through lol. Disregard your thermometer.
Drought monitor was updated this morning and it does show drought now taking hold in parts of Kentucky…https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
Officially, it’s abnormally dry….
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?KY
I think it is approaching two years now since any area in KY has been able to stay in at least the abnormally dry or moderate drought or worse category for more than a month consecutively. It will be interesting to see if your area will stay dry enough to maintain or actually reach early drought category for a month or more. One good rain in a 7 day period will easily wipe out only an “abnormally dry” category. I think a lot of people misunderstand and dog the Drought Monitor for being too sensitive for “dry” conditions and don’t understand that abnormally dry is NOT A DROUGHT but just a very dry short-term period or slightly drier long-term period that affects crops and/or water supply. For Louisville, your abnormally dry category is deserving in my opinion as the past 60 days (short-term) is way below normal fir precip and this affects agriculture! I like the Drought Monitor myself.
Just heard that on the TV weather out of Louisville. Does not look like there will be much relief in the way of rainfall for the areas that are already dry.
Adding to the above we could be entering a DROUGHT that may last longer because of all the precipitation we had over the past three years which would ruin our chances for a colorful Fall. It’s either too much rain or not enough. Can’t win when it comes to Mother Nature. Crops are already suffering as well as landscape plants and lawns that are not irrigated in my county of Taylor. Glad I’m out of that business of growing nursery stock. It would be very expensive to maintain these days. I can here it now “when is it going start raining” and looking back it was “when is it going to stop raining.” Where I live in a vast forest we have to worry about forest fires. Please lets not have a long drought.