More Of A Stormy Setup Ahead

Good Wednesday, everyone. We are rolling into the middle of the week with another weak front dropping into the region. That will touch off a couple of showers and storms and this looks like a sign of things to come. The overall setup for the next few weeks looks to trend wetter and stormier.

Our flow out there today is from the northwest and will spit out a shower or storm, especially across the eastern half of the state. Here’s your regional radar to follow the action…

Temps will won’t be half bad with lots of low and middle 80s and humidity levels are lower than yesterday. Those numbers come down even more on Thursday with a mainly dry sky. The day looks pretty darn nice.

Temps and humidity levels start to climb some on Friday, but some showers and storms look to rumble in from the west late in the day and continue into Saturday…

GFS

Euro

Muggy air really settles in behind those storms, but the pattern will throw another front at us late Sunday and early Monday. That will lead to some more storms with that storm threat locking in through the first half of next week. That’s because an upper level system gets left behind to spin across the lower Ohio Valley into the south. That can fire up daily thunderstorms across our region.

The maps below show Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday…

The overall pattern continues to trend back toward wetter than normal around here and for much of the region and country. Check out the two week rainfall anomalies from the GFS Ensembles…

Make it a great day and take care.


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18 Responses to More Of A Stormy Setup Ahead

  1. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. We did not get a drop of rain today out of that cluster of storms and rain, we could really use a da or two of slow, soaking rain, Maybe we will see some out of the next front. Have a great Wednesday everyone!

  2. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, With that huge high pressure to our southwest fattening out it could put our region in a better chance for much needed rain in central and southeastern Kentucky. Storm total from yesterday in my county was 0.12 inches. Most rain we have seen in Taylor County for more than a month. For the year we are about seven inches below normal.

    • Terry says:

      Same for me, terrible:(….best I am not below on the year, just August. 0.45 for August (so far).

      • Terry says:

        I meant to say, “….but I am not below on the year, just August.” I hate typos but the phone keyboard is way too tiny for my fat fingers. LOL

  3. Terry says:

    I know there is no correlation between a crappy August cold front and snow for the upcoming winter; however, I sure hope yesterday is not a foreshadowing of the 2020 winter: All the precip stays mostly along the I-64 corridor. LOL. 9 times out of 10, most of the snow is around the I-64 corridor and northward in winter. I hate looking at the radar and the watching the same areas get precip while missing out, especially if snow. Oh well, life goes on:)

  4. Schroeder says:

    I can’t really comment on the Fall and Winter ahead as I can’t get a handle on what ENSO neutral exactly means ? Taking a “poke at it” I would say we would be on the”fence” again. Not exactly in the warm air or the cold air either. In other words a “crappy little Winter.” The erratic and warmer Oceans and Seas around the world is really giving long range forecasters difficulties on what is ahead in my opinion.

    • Schroeder says:

      Adding to the above and again in my opinion, the Oceans and Seas are warming is a natural cycle and not due to any specific unnatural activity. What makes me angry is the political rhetoric you here every single day on climate change. Back in the 1950’s and 1960’s you never heard any of this CRAP!!! To all: don’t fall for this SCAM please.

      • MarkLex says:

        I agree. I think that this would be happening regardless. But what is more worrying is Fukushima and the trash in the oceans (that they are attempting to clean up)

        • Schroeder says:

          And raw crude oil is still leaking in the Gulf of Mexico from an “accident” that happened on an oil rig a few years ago. A puzzled World we live in these days.

  5. Chris says:

    0.20″ of rain in here in Louisville yesterday, yard still looks like it is about to burst into flames. My layman understanding of the models Chris shared today isn’t impressed with the “potential” for much needed rain in the coming weeks. At least not in Louisville, looks like the greatest chances are for SE KY.

  6. Schroeder says:

    The big winner for rainfall yesterday was just to my southwest in Monroe County recording 2.40 inches. That’s the way it goes in the weather world. Unless we get some tropical development out of the Gulf of Mexico, widespread rains are just not going to happen in August through October.

  7. Brian from rockcastle says:

    We didn’t get a drop of rain yesterday here in the maretburg area of Rockcastle co. either. Had only one day with rain in the past 30 some days. Getting pretty dry

    • Schroeder says:

      No one in my county of Taylor really did either, only 0.12 inches of rainfall recorded. By this time next week (if the pattern doesn’t change) we will be in the abnormally dry status which will lead to you know what.

  8. Mike S says:

    This anomalies map is even worse than the one from the other day. Someone tell me how nearly the entire state of Florida will have a deficit of 4-5″ of rainfall over the next 2 weeks while just off the coast, 5 plus inches above normal. Even if this is centimeters, which logically it would have to be, then that highest value of 1.9 cm in Kentucky translates to only about 0.75″ above normal. Quite a few locations are currently running at least 1 to as much as 3″ below normal for the last 30 days or so. Since the anomalies map is showing much smaller numbers above normal for the rest of the state during the next two weeks, Louisville, for instance will still finish the month of August below normal. And if this map is in inches, then none of this makes sense.

  9. TennMark says:

    Areas in and around Nashville TN had multiple Severe Thunderstorm Warnings yesterday afternoon along with Flood Warnings. Trees down in other parts of town, and a wind gauge recorded a 59 mph gust. About 4000 customers were without power. My neighborhood thankfully had electricity, but less than a mile to the west had a whole street with no power. My cheap rain gauge in the backyard recorded about 1.30 inches rain.

    Numerous flights to Nashville had to divert to other airports like Louisville and Memphis.

    Oh, and Jackson Tennessee had a heat index of 118 yesterday before the storms arrived, and other areas of Tennessee and western Kentucky were not much better. I love summer conditions (even if the meteorology behind summer weather is not always very exciting), but 118 is a bit much even for me!

    • Terry says:

      Consider yourself lucky as I wish my weather was as exciting as yours lately. You have “lucked” up (depends on one’s preference) with at least some good t-storms lately which is less boring than my area. Typical, boring, lack of rain plagues Harlan. About 10 days out, the tropics look more favorable, so that is something interesting to track as we often get impacts, depending on any land falling storms and location of course

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