Good Monday, everyone. We are kicking off the new week with more in the way of steamy temperatures, but stormy skies will definitely be on the increase. Rounds of showers and storms will ramp up over the next few days as a cold front slowly works toward the region. That will bring a big decrease temps for the second half of the week.
Today’s temps are similar to the past few days, but a scattering of showers and storms may go up and help us out a bit. These storms shouldn’t be severe per say, but one or two could push the strong boundary. Here are your radars to track the action…
Tuesday finds a better shot at a few strong or severe storms, especially across the northern half of the state. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
Our front slides into the region on Wednesday and that will bring more in the way of showers and storms to much of the region. The severe threat may also still be around…
Heavy rainfall is a good bet for some and that could cause local high water issues to develop. Does this front slow down on top of the Tennessee Valley and let low pressure develop along it? Many models think so and keep showers and storms going from Thursday into Friday…
EURO
Canadian
That could impact the kickoff of the high school football season.
The days leading up to Labor Day weekend are taking on more of a cooler look with a deepening trough possibly showing up. Look at this trough digging in on the European Model…
That also shows up well on the Canadian…
Have a great Monday and take care.
I hope it rains!
Yeah for sure! I am tired of hearing about scattered and would like to see a non-typical summer widespread rain event to help us catch up on missed August rainfall as many, including me, are near 0 inches still!
I like seeing that last weather model with all that cold air plunging south straight out of Canada. How can we make that reality. Maybe HAARP can make it happen. LOL
It’s going to be hard to get a good rain. It would have to be something tropical out of the Gulf.
94 degree high yesterday at my home in northern Taylor County. This is the highest temperature so far this Summer. Only recorded 0.12 inches of rain for the month. Not complaining as this is August and I except it.
I hate August weather. I always have though, lol. Every now and then, August weather isn’t so boring when we get a strong cold front or a Tropical System to track.
The Tropical Atlantic is really quiet for now. It’s like we are still in an El Nino phase because the Pacific is active. NOAA keeps reporting that we have entered the Neutral phase but, I kind of wonder if they really know what phase we are in. NOAA extended outlook for the Fall and Winter 2019-2020 looks like the Spring and Summer outlook from last year. No one knows they are just giving us their indications.
August makes me sad not the weather but on August 30, 1984 my Father was helping me in one of my fields getting it ready for Fall plantings and sells and lost his life in a tractor accident. A day that replays in me forever. To this day when August 30 comes I just set in the dark for the entire day and do nothing.
One good thing we haven’t been steamy here just hot during the late afternoon.
It has been so bad since 2016 in SE KY that even just a 3 inch snow this upcoming winter would be exciting…LOL. I LITERALLY HAVE NOT HAD A GOOD GROUND COVER SINCE FEB OF 2016.
Terry, Didn’t we have a strong El Nino in February 2016 ? That was the year I built that snowman and took a photo to hang on my wall at Christmas. I figured that would be my last chance playing in the snow. LOL
Adding to the above isn’t a strong El Nino a ” blow torch” Winter for our area ? Just goes to show you that it’s all speculation and indication. Just decide to except the weather as is.
Yeah it was pretty strong in the late fall but was phasing out towards La Nino in 2016 I think.
The strongest El Nino I ever been through was in 1982. It was a very mild Fall and Winter with one rain storm after another. A record high was set on Christmas Day at 80 degrees with thunderstorms and flooding rains. Spring and Summer was hot and dry like it is now.
I got to get off of here now as my eyes are beginning to hurt. Have a great day everyone.
Good thing. Abnormally Dry will expand in Kentucky in the next report.
22 Mesonet sites currently under 0.50″ for the month. London at 0.00″ or a Trace of rain.
I am only at 0.40 in. If things don’t change, this August would go down as the lowest monthly total for me in years for any month! All it will take is 1 good rain event, however, and my monthly total could drastically change by the 31st!
Hard to believe some areas are considered “Abnormally Dry” when they have received 60 inches of rain or more in the past year or so.
I agree. I had a little over 10″ in June alone, and now my ground is like concrete mole holes, very uneven and hard as rocks.
In western NC, where I grew up, it stormed daily in the summer (well, almost daily) no cold fronts but just heat and humidity and storms would always pop in the afternoon. I always thought of hot/humid weather a great atmosphere for storms. Yesterday was the hottest day yet and the storms moving into that type of atmosphere actually weakened……I mean, you’d think there’d at least be an outflow boundary or something.
A few weeks ago, I visited home and stayed in my old room. In the morning, the sun would always shine through the window at a certain angle. I asked my dad if they moved the house because the sun wasn’t shining in the same spot through the window that I remembered it.
A capped atmosphere beats a line of storms every time.
A capped atmosphere beats a line of storms every time.
CB, if no good rain this week, looks like you need to bring up your favorite subject. Starts with “d” and rhymes with doubt 😉
Chris still refuses to use the word “dry” in his forecasts. Wake-up, Chris. We know you don’t believe in dryness and consider the drought monitor bogus, but by ignoring the abnormal dry pattern of late, and continuing to hype those models that show a stormy and wetter than normal pattern, is only hurting your credibility as a knowledgeable and reliable meteorologist. Sure, it’s summer and dry spells are normal from time to time, but please acknowledge their existence just like you do the abnormally wet periods. Maybe even discuss in your blog the patterns of dryness (and drought) and the factors that go into creating them. It’s a great teaching opportunity you fail to grasp.
Unfortunately Chris is only concerned about clicks and dry weather is boring and receives fewer clicks.
I beginning to think he’s most concerned about selling advertising space on his blog then accurately reporting the current weather. But it’s his blog, he can post whatever he wants. He’s just hurting his credibility, though, by not accurately reporting all types of meteorology / weather.
Totally false BS
Your take is a lie.
Not a lie, just my opinion. I’ve been reading this blog for years and it’s well known Chris has an issue with speaking openly about dry weather patterns. He has even admitted he thinks the drought monitor is ridiculous. Why? Dryness / drought is a weather phenomenon, just like excessive rain and flooding, so why not speak more openly about dry weather patterns that occur from time to time and just not openly ignore them by hyping the models that show the best chance of rain? Sorry, a truly professional meteorologist covers all aspects of weather, and doesn’t discount others. Frankly, I’m disappointed in Chris. I use to think he was a good, knowledgeable met. Chris needs to admit on this blog that, yes, some areas of the state have gotten very dry over the last 6-8 weeks. The below normal precipitation data from various stations doesn’t lie.
Linus I’m a regular reader on the blog. Don’t be knocking on CB in takes. He’s the best there is. If you dont like his in take in what does just stay off this blog.
I agree !!!
Richmond is smoking hot today with Mesonet showing it hit 98 there earlier but back down to 95 now. Several mid 90s on the Mesonet but all local forecasts continue to show “the under” with temps projected in low 90s or less for many.
FYI, hottest August Mesonet reading since 2012. Madison county hits 99. Louisville hits 98, first time since early July 2018.