Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a cold front crossing the state today, but it’s pretty moisture starved. This front may not have much moisture with it, but it will have a nice push of cooler air coming in behind it. This push of cooler air is playing a role in the track of Hurricane Dorian along the southeastern seaboard.
As usual, let’s begin with today and roll forward. A scattered shower or storm is possible today, with the best chance being across the south and southeast. Even these areas won’t be seeing much action, but it’s worthy of a regional radar look…
The air coming in behind this looks amazing for Thursday and Friday. Highs on Thursday likely stay down in the 70s with VERY low humidity…
That comes with a mix of sun and clouds, too. Lows by Friday morning will close in on the 50 degree mark…
The weekend has a slight shower chance as we get another front to settle in from the north. We may be just on the southern edge of another cool shot…
A surge of very warm temps is likely to follow that up by the middle of next week, but there is some indication of a slow moving storm system bringing another round of cool with it later in the week…
Hurricane Dorian continues to turn northward toward the Carolinas and continues to be a heck of a storm…
Here is the update information from the National Hurricane Center…
Here are the latest Hurricane Model forecasts…
The GFS Ensembles…
As you can see, it looks like the Carolinas will get the worst Dorian has to offer the US.
Have a great day and take care.
On today’s date in 1935 was the final landfall in Florida of the Labor Day hurricane. But it was the earlier Sept 2 landfall at the Florida Keys that was so devastating as this storm was at Cat 5 strength.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1935_Labor_Day_hurricane
Similar to Dorian a few days ago at the Bahamas, the 1935 Labor Day storm had 185 mph sustained winds with higher gusts along with a storm surge of over 20 feet. The extreme winds and storm surge even carried away a p-a-s-s-e-n-g-e-r train with only the locomotive remaining on the tracks.
Thanks for sharing TennMark. I enjoy your wealth of knowledge on past weather events.
I must commend all Meteorologist as they did a VERY GOOD job with forecasting what Hurricane Dorian’s path would be. Very SAD about the Bahamas and thoughts and prayers are extended to all as this most dangerous storm travels up the southeast coast.
See that’s just the problem with you Schroeder just a few days back you were ripping the meteorologist and casting stones for model watching and in your opinion not having a good grasp on where the hurricane was going to. And here we are today and now you commend the meteorologist on a very good job??? Talk about being a hypocrite. The meteorologists from the NHC to the local east coast meteorologist that work around the clock for days where Dorian will be affecting there community to even TWC worked tirelessly and still are with this Hurricane. You showed no respect to there efforts just a few days back, none!!!
Yes, you have a point I am a hypocrite and I didn’t show any respect to all the men and women who worked around the clock on predicting the path of Hurricane Dorian. I just hope Dorian doesn’t cause anymore destruction and just move out to sea.
https://media.giphy.com/media/a9gu5GIJGJ9du/giphy.gif
something sure did a number on this hurricane for it to drop from a monster storm to just 105 mph (not that that’s not bad enough) especially since it’s been over warm water and not on land.
MarkLex, Yes, that is hard to figure since the surface sea temperatures are well above normal in those areas too.
Hurricane peaked out in the Bahamas and sat stationary for hours and hours. When that happen hurricane Dorian mixed in the cooler waters deeper in the Atlantic straight to the surface. Basically Dorian was choking itself off. So instead of having the warmer waters to work with Dorian actually mixed in the cooler waters from below and met it’s own demise to a point. Still a dangerous hurricane but not nearly as intense, If Dorian would of kept moving instead of stalling the strength of Dorian would of maintained better. Dorian would of eventually still weaken due to shear and the environment being not as conducive but just not as quickly.
Interesting take.
More like scientific fact
Upwelling..If Dorian had not stalled out it’s hard to say what would of happened to the east coast..
Thanks
Chris might as well put the blog on moth-balls for the next 10 days as the weather in KY looks horrendously dull. Other than Dorian off the SE coast, the weather today across the entire US is about as quiet as it will ever be.
Some forecasts are calling for highs in the mid 90’s next week in the lower OV. Unfortunately, it’s getting dry again, too. Fortunately, the rains from 10 days ago was a savior across the dry areas of north-central KY, and kept the dryness from getting out of hand. Unfortunately, without any rain in the forecast for the next 10 days, we will be right back to where we where a few weeks ago. But… we are late enough in the growing season, combined with the shortening days and increasingly lower sun angle, that a dry period isn’t that big of a deal in September. Plus, with cooler mornings there is more dew which actually helps plants / vegetation absorb a bit of moisture.
I’m ready for cold and snow chances! Who’s with me?
I am ready for this hot weather to be over. No more 90s, no more humidity, highs in the 60s and 70s with fall taking control all the time. I do not like hot weather so bring on fall and winter.
Hope all of you get your cold and snow in the upcoming Winter.