Summer Hangs Tough

Good Monday, everybody. A surge of true summer air is starting to push back into the state today and will really ramp up over the next few days. The increase in temps will also come with an increase in humidity. This also means an increase in showers and storms later in the week. How much of a chance may hinge upon the tropics.

As is usually the case, let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs are into the 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. There could still be a shower or storm in the north, but most stay dry. Your obligatory regional radar…

The sizzle really settles in on Tuesday with temps in the 90 degree range for many. There will be a small threat for a storm or two in the afternoon.

A better storm chance shows up by Wednesday as moisture streams in from the south. This is following a weakness in the atmosphere that appears to set up right over top of us. Obviously, we could use the rain, but this may also help us out in the temperature department.

The threat for a few storms will then be with us again on Thursday, with a greater threat by Friday. That’s when a potent cold front moves in from the west. This front may slow down over the region, but that largely depends on how strong a potential tropical system gets off the southeast coast…

The stronger that system, whether it’s classified or not, the better the chance that front puts the brakes on. If that’s the case, it would keep a few showers and storms going into the weekend.

The GFS shows our front slowing down…

The same model run then shows a much stronger cold front next week with a more impressive tropical system approaching the southeast again…

The National Hurricane Center is watching a couple of systems in the Atlantic and those could very well be the systems showing up above…

Have a great day and take care.

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9 Responses to Summer Hangs Tough

  1. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    I hope the cold front does not stall before it reaches Ky.

  2. Mike S says:

    Uh oh. He said “dry” and “we could use the rain”…in the same post. It must be getting bad. Our NWS in Louisville is only giving us a slight chance by Friday, and that’s it for the week.

    • Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

      We are definitely in a rain slump.

    • BubbaG says:

      I can sense maybe the D word coming! Hopefully not, since my senses usually make no sense 🙂

      It is what it is- Whatever that is.

      • Prelude says:

        Dorian is no longer a threat to the US mainland so it’s not the “D” word.

        • Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

          Maybe one of those storms out in the Atlantic Ocean will make a push to come up through the Gulf of Mexico.
          It might bring some substantial rain to Ky.
          Of course it might be bad news for our friends down south.
          Due to water temps. being above normal, the storm would be at least a cat3.

  3. Schroeder says:

    Prelude, your thoughts and weather information are always appreciated on the forum but, I believe Bubba was referring to drought and not Dorian honest mistake Bud.

  4. Winterlover says:

    Sometimes I wonder what goes on at the tropics is sucking the moisture out of our atmosphere. It’s like somebody has turn the water facet off for good after such a wet start.

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