A Few Storms Join The Heat

Good Wednesday, everyone. September sizzle rolls on as our sky tries to get a little more active in the coming days. This means a few showers and storms joining the mix, especially later in the week as a cold front drops in from the northwest. What happens after this depends on what happens in the busy tropics.

As always, we start with the precious present. Temps today are back in the 90s with more humidity filling the air. This will help spawn a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. One or two strong storms will be possible, but this isn’t widespread stuff. Here are your tracking tools for the day…

Thursday looks a whole lot like today with more steam and a few storms.

By Friday, a cold front is approaching the region from the northwest. This front will bring a broken line of showers and storms in here. Temps will once again be in the 90s.

Much of what happens after this front depends on the tropics. A system is crossing Florida and getting into the Gulf and could develop into a full blown depression or storm. That’s one of several systems being monitored in the Atlantic…

Once that gets into the Gulf, it has a chance to bring rain our way early next week. Watch how the models handle the weekend front then open the door to tropical moisture that follows:

GFS

Canadian

That system in the Gulf is certainly something to keep a close eye on.

Another tropical system may approach the southeastern seaboard late next week or into next weekend. At the same time, a deepening trough may engulf our region.

Enjoy your day and take care.


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7 Responses to A Few Storms Join The Heat

  1. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    I hope the storm develops in the gulf and moves towards the commonwealth.
    Desperate times calls for desperate weather action.

  2. Mike S says:

    At 8:00 a.m., Lexington Mesonet had one of the highest low temperatures this morning among the other reporting Mesonet stations in Kentucky. Their high of 95.5 degrees yesterday fell within the usual 3-6 degree difference for high temperatures between the official site and this unofficial one. But, of course, overnight low temperatures are not as consistent, with Mesonet recording higher low temperatures than the official location more times than not through the 10th. I say average the two sites together and call it a day.

  3. Bryan says:

    Somber day as today is the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. Most of us will never forget that day. I was stationed at Fort Knox and remember it was a beautiful later summer day, maybe mid 80’s with a deep blue sky.
    Hoping our current weather improves, as I mentioned yesterday, this month seems to be taking the same path as September, 2018. Hopefully we can get cooler weather by late month. Last year the first autumn fronts didn’t occur until mid October.

  4. Mark says:

    What a difference a year makes. Louisville had its wettest September on record in 2018 with almost 11 inches of rain. Ironically, it was also a very warm month with temperatures averaging almost 4 degrees above normal. In fact, the temperature hit 94 degrees on September 20th. Kind of goes against the chatter that a wet ground tempers high temperatures. But maybe if last September hadn’t of been so wet, temperatures would have been higher?

    Today’s models, especially the Canadian, seem to be going away from the tropical moisture making into the Ohio Valley next week. Not good news if it holds true. In fact, the 12z Canadian has very little rain for a good chunk of KY (except the southeast) for the next 10 days. The GFS suite looks a bit better, but we all know the GFS has a wet bias on QPF. Let’s hope this dry / hot pattern changes the second half of September, because if not, most of the area could be in a moderate to severe SHORT-TERM drought by October with a very high fire danger.

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