Good Saturday, everyone. Our historic September rolls on as hot weather and mainly dry conditions continue to dominate the pattern. This looks to continue through the first few days of October, but signs a pattern change are FINALLY showing up.
Temps hit the 90s out there today as humidity levels spike. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted for much of the day with the chance for a shower or storm. Those chances look to come early in the day across the eastern half of the state, then again late this afternoon. That said, this action looks pretty sparse, but we will take whatever falls.
Here are your radars…
Sunday’s forecast looks to feature more of the same as temps flirt with records for many areas.
Monday through Wednesday will see hot and humid weather with a good chance at setting record highs for many cities across Kentucky and surrounding areas.
A cold front works toward the region on Thursday and should touch off a few showers and storms. That front will unleash MUCH cooler air by Friday into the first weekend of October…
That’s part of a pattern that will feature progressive troughs moving across the country, knocking down the southeast ridge.This doesn’t mean the rest of October comes in cooler than normal, but it’s a different look than the pattern that’s really been in place for much of the year.
Speaking of a different look, check out the snowfall forecast for the next two weeks…
Near blizzard conditions are possible the next few days across the northern Rockies. Historic snows will be falling there as we are enjoying historic heat.
Speaking of snowfall, I’ll throw you a bone on that in my next update.
Make it a great Saturday and take care.
Close call…storm pops up over Lexington this morning, but just missed airport. Showers to the west, still a chance.
Louisville was flirting with all-time record warm minimum temperature for month of September of 80 degrees, but the 6:00a.m. reading fell to 79, still a record for the date
Chris does not seem that optimistic about the amount of rain we will receive from the cold front next week.
In my future comments I’m going to take a different approach on the subject of meteorology. The comments of yesterday evening have convince me into thinking about weather events in a different way. With all the scientific facts out there I am going to refer to all weather events now as climate change events. This would include all weather events that may occur in the future too numerous to mention. Also, I am taking out terms such as why and normal. This will make climate change events acceptable without questions. In other words don’t question just except what is going on currently. I will no longer take a trip down memory lane anymore, but will only state my opinion on current climate change events, such as precipitation totals and temperatures changes. Have a great day everyone.
I suggest first learning about the difference between climate and weather.
Climate is always changing.. Been that way since the Earth was formed. Weather cycles yearly. Extremes and Norms combine to make averages.. This is all one really needs to know here..
Carter County (Olive Hill) is finally getting some measurable rain! It’s almost 8:00am and a pretty big thunderstorm is rolling through. I was having trouble remembering the last time it actually rained more than a few sprinkles!
There was a lot of exciting weather to track Friday evening here in the Chicago Metro area and Northern Illinois. There were numerous severe thunderstorm warnings and flash flood warnings issued for the area. Rainfall ranged from 2 to 4 inches.
O’Hare Airport received 2.28 inches of rain Friday, which was a record for the date, and is now up to 6.85 inches for the month. In the SW suburbs of Chicago where I live, we had over 3 inches Friday.
More heavy rain and storms are on the way later on Saturday night for Northern Illinois. Amazing that it’s so dry in Kentucky… hope that changes soon for all of you there.
I suspect the reason is that the ridge that we are under is slowing down the progression of rain in Chicago from moving very quickly… I remember the same thing happened here in Sept 2006…storms just trained over my area and it rained 7 inches. The next day, you could see the cutoff from southwest to northeast so my guess is there was a strong high just to the south of us. But I’m not even close to being a met. Just my guess.
I was watching videos on the Bermuda High and one met said that when the Bermuda High moves east closer to us, it’s no longer a Bermuda High but just a strong ridge of High pressure!!?? LOL. It almost makes me wonder if it EVER rains in Bermuda, since there is a constant area of High pressure named after the island. But it does rain there. I guess sometimes the high moves far enough away from there at times.
Glad I was not flying through the likes of O’Hare or Midway yesterday!
Only 0.02 of an inch so far this September at Nashville TN which is on pace to being Nashville’s driest September on record. I would have to look up to see if this would be the driest month period.
At least my neck of the woods had a strong t-storm event near the end of August (even if much of the rain water flowed off rather than being soaked into the ground), but other parts of Tennessee have not been as fortunate. My parents live near Chattanooga/Cleveland TN which has had brush fires. I posted yesterday about a dust devil near Oak Grove KY that may have been partially fed by a large brush fire.
No, you’re wrong on several fronts. First off, I’m 50, so not a young fella. Secondly, ocean levels have been slowly rising for the past few decades as scientists predicted. Just do your research and you will see the facts on this. Lastly, climate scientists use many other records provided by nature to determine past climates, for example ice-core samples. Some of these natural records provided by nature allow a snapshot of the climate thousands of years ago. Written weather records are only a small part of the data used by scientists.
Sure, there have always been and will always be natural variations in the climate, but what science has proven is the excessive burning of fossil fuels from human overpopulation has caused a severity in the greenhouse effect which in turn means more extremes as a result of a warmer atmosphere. In other words, the natural extremes will only become more extreme because of the effects of the greenhouse effect. Does global warming mean cold weather will disappear? Of course not because the Arctic and Antarctic will always have little sunlight during the winter months allowing for the air in these areas to cool.
It’s useless to discuss climate change and global warming because some people just don’t want to believe it, whether that be for religious or political reasons. But being an armchair quarterback with little to no understanding of climate, yet saying those intelligent and well educated scientists who spend extensive time studying climate are wrong, accomplishes nothing positive.
Sorry guys, my comment above is intended for Winterlover’s comment below.
Sir no problem that you gave out your opinion. That’s what’s this blog for. Me and you just see it differently and were not the only ones.
I’m referring this comment that Mark and I were discussing on last night comment section. Mark first of I can tell your a young fella to the fact the scientists were predicting ocean levels would rise by year year 2000 back in the late 80’s and the 90s. That being said that hasn’t materlize as of today. We can argue all day long about climate changes. I will say this there. no records were kept until late 1800′ s so that means no one knows what weather was two or three hundred ago and the earth has subtain cold and hot events since earth existed.
I never read anything back in the 70’s about any coastal city that would be under water by the year 2000.
And if there was an article or book that predicted that event if was never excepted science.
Now at this moment in time 95% of the scientific community excepts the science that the earth is warming at an accelerated rate due to CO admissions.
See my post directly above yours.
Brian Goode gave a bold forecast this morning. Upper 90’s for the rest of the month and a 100 degree reading for the first day of October in Louisville. Finally someone willing to push the envelope and take this pattern seriously. Sometimes, in these forecasts put out during the last two months, I feel like I’m watching The Price is Right. You know the strategy when someone bids too conservatively, afraid to go over the actual price. Perhaps the NWS would appear to do better by including a more aggressive range of temperatures to account for the heat island effect and this dry trend. I hit 91 degrees yesterday, but the official location at MAI airport hit 95, four degrees off of the 91 forecast. The range they included today still looks conservative but better, 89-95. But remember, we are least 20 degrees warmer this morning than yesterday. Upper 90’s sounds plausible to me. For forecast interests in Lexington, whose dry streak is still intact, similar readings should be expected, at least 96 at their airport (media (wkyt) forecast I believe calls for 93 on Saturday). Come on, be more aggressive. This continues to be an abysmal period when forecasters skill level has dropped to new lows, relying too much on computers and not being aware of their surroundings.
picked up 1/2 inch in Northern Whitley yesterday…loosing power and cable was totally worth it. not really sure how many days without rain, but surely a record.
Lexington has at least tied a record high temperature for this date, already hit 94 during the past hour. Louisville has also tied a record high of 93. Still time to set a new record
“Throw you a bone” – as long as it’s not wishcasting wishbone, I’m fine with it.
The bare ground is just as hard as the concrete in Lexington, but no, it has to be the thermometer because there’s no other way to explain it. Even I said do not be surprised if Lexington hits at least 96 today versus the 93 forecast by WKYT. Just poor forecasting, not just this media source but NWS as well. I’m curious to see whether such ones will finally adapt their forecasts to the drought conditions surrounding us. Lexington has not recorded measurable rainfall yet this month, no lush green vegetation, just plain, hard ground.
Doesn’t really matter.