Good Sunday, folks. As our record setting heat continues across the Commonwealth, fairly dramatic changes are showing up in the pattern next week. That change will likely take us into a more typical fall setup, with an increase in cold fronts being able to penetrate the eastern part of the country. Woot!
Let’s begin with today and roll forward. It’s hot.. This much we know. It’s also mainly dry… This much we know. That said, there can still be a few popup showers and storms this afternoon and evening. Regional radar will sniff those out for ya…
Record highs will likely continue to be set through the first two days of October. Temps will be well into the 90s during this time, with possibly the hottest temps ever recorded for so late in the year. I’ve prepped you guys for this for nearly 2 weeks now, so it shouldn’t come as a shock.
A fall cold front sweeps in here on Thursday as the overall pattern starts to shake it up. This should bring a few showers and storms in here, but it doesn’t look like a lot of rain by any means. Behind this front comes a taste of the good stuff into the first weekend of October…
A deeper system looks to move in behind that by next Sunday and Monday, bringing another rain chance and even chillier air…
It’s refreshing to see the pattern finally moving again, but I still think October skews warmer than normal as a whole. The European Weeklies have had the hot hand of late, pun intended. They were all over this hot and dry period well ahead of anything else. They keep us warmer than normal into early November, but nowhere near like what we’ve been seeing. They also show an uptick in precipitation amounts as October wears on, so that’s some good news.
In terms of snow potential across the country, they are showing the potential for early November action into the Ohio Valley. Here’s what the next 45 days worth of flakes look like across the country…
Those are always fun to look at, but never take those verbatim, Still, the can offer clues to a pattern setting up across the country.
Have a great Sunday and take care.
Climate change events is our current weather. Yesterdays high of 91 degrees in my backyard with no precipitation. Great blog this morning Chris. Everyone have a pleasant and quiet Sunday.
Look you can’t just use “Climate Change Events” to talk about our weather…Climate and Weather are different things
I don’t see a decent rain maker coming to my town.
Looking at that 45 day winter weather map all the snow is in the Northwest USA. This isn’t written in stone but over the years I’ve noticed it has to get warm in Alaska for the real cold weather to settle in to the Ohio Valley.
One thing I noticed that the NWS Louisville did not mention in its climate segment of the AFD this afternoon was the high probability that Louisville and Lexington both could set an all-time high temperature record for the month of October. The current record for both sites is 93 degrees. Current forecast is for 95 at Louisville and 96 at Lexington on October 1.