Good Sunday, everyone. After a history making stretch of dry weather, much needed rain is arriving across the bluegrass state. As a matter of fact, heavy rain and thunderstorms may put down enough rain to cause local high water issues later tonight and early Monday.
All of this is part of a totally different weather pattern that is actually skewed normal or a touch colder than normal through much of the rest of the month.
Let’s start with the big rain event that’s just getting started. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be noted today, but the widespread rain and storm action develops this evening and goes into Monday. The greatest risk for significant rainfall is across central and eastern Kentucky, with lighter amounts in the far north and west. Still, most everyone should see beneficial rains.
Here’s a look at what I’m currently expecting…
Local high water issues could develop tonight and early Monday in areas getting in on thunderstorms. Speaking of thunderstorms, there’s even an outside chance for a strong or local severe boomer. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
Here are your Sunday tracking tools…
Temperatures on Monday should stay in the 50s for the eastern half of the state, so that qualifies as a full blown…
Lows by Tuesday morning are generally in the low and mid 40s, but a pocket of upper 30s will be possible in the colder valleys.
I can see a scenario where far southeastern Kentucky gets in on a shower or two Tuesday, but the Tuesday-Thursday period looks pretty darn awesome. Seasonally chilly mornings and mild afternoons make for some perfect fall days.
As all this nice weather is happening here, a major storm is meandering off the east coast. That system will dictate the exact timing on our late week cold front blowing through here. This major fall front will feature a line of showers and storms, gusty winds and a big time temp drop in a short amount of time…
Readings behind this will likely head deep into the 30s, bringing a frost and light freeze threat to much of the region.
Some of those models even take a touch of snow all the way to the Texas Panhandle! Wow.
Speaking of snow, the European Ensembles are showing the first flakes in the high ground of the Appalachian Mountains in West Virginia over the next few weeks…
I’ll see you with another update later today, so check back. Until then, have a great Sunday and take care.
Haven’t see one of those maps for a long time. It’s been awhile.
Oh my gosh, raindrops just started at my house in South East Lexington. WOW.
Thanks Chris, great blog. Yesterday, I had a high of 86 degrees in what is left of my backyard. Have a quiet Sunday everyone.
Great news, but blow out post? Didn’t strike me as a blow out. Glad to see the chili alert in action, it’s been too long. It’s that time of year…time to check the blog every day . Looking for the first shot of snow, and definitely looking for the winter 2019-2020 post!
Paintsville just got a quick .16, More to come, I hope!
I’d eat chili in July. 😉
I made Chili on Tuesday. My husband said ‘you know it’s 95 degrees outside don’t you?’ My reply was ‘you know it’s October don’t you?’
My mother in the Chattanooga/Cleveland TN area texted me well after midnight saying she and my father woke to the sound of heavy rain on the roof and the metal shed 🙂 ! It didn’t last long, but it’s a start.
Wouldn’t be too surprising if people have forgotten how to drive on wet roads, plus a fair amount of oil and other debris has accumulated which could make things a little more slick. Kind of like much of California after their long dry summer season finally comes to an end.
Our NWS forecast in London says 65 monday 72 tues 77 weds and 80 thursday….I ll take it
A nice, lovely rain in Richmond. Your forecast is spot on. Ignore the deteactors.
Glad the forecast is spot on for your area Jeffery.
Lexington BG airport not able to avoid the drops today. 39-day dry streak officially over.
I’ve been waiting on the Pot of Chili Alert, but now that I see CB’s image I’m reminded it should be a Cauldron of Chili Alert