Good Monday, folks. Heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms are common across areas of central and eastern Kentucky. This rain is essentially wiping out our short-term drought and producing local high water concerns. It’s also bringing a chill to the air… Or should I say “Chili” to the air. It’s a full blown Pot Of Chili Alert today. 🙂
Local high water issues are possible early today across central and eastern Kentucky. This is where the heaviest rains are falling. The drops will slowly end from west to east today, but temps may not get out of the 50s for the eastern half of the state. Winds will be gusty, making it feel downright chilly.
Here are your Monday tracking tools…
The threat for rain will linger through Tuesday across areas of far eastern and southeastern Kentucky. This area could get in on another round of very heavy rains. Check out the rain totals from tonight into Tuesday only…
That will keep overnight temps up compared to the rest of the state, but will also keep them down on Tuesday. Most areas are in the 40s for overnight lows, with a shot at upper 30s in the colder valleys. Highs on Tuesday are generally in the 60s.
Wednesday and Thursday look very nice with cool mornings and mild afternoons. This is ahead of a big time fall cold front that moves in here by Friday or very early Saturday.Gusty winds and a line of showers and storms will accompany our front…
This boundary will have one heck of a temperature gradient along it with temps dropping some 20-30 degrees in just a few hours. That could give us 50s for highs on Saturday with a significant frost threat Saturday night…
The setup behind that into next week looks chilly with the potential for a potent southern stream storm system. Interesting look for the middle of October.
I will give you another update later today so check back. Until then, make it a great Monday and take care.
Thanks Chris, great blog. Rainfall total so far in my backyard 2.04 inches. Have a great day everyone.
Chris seems to be bullish on highs in the 50’s Saturday. nws gives upper 60’s for my part of the state. Personally i’m hoping for the 50’s.
Little less than half inch rain fell here in far western” ky. It’s better than nothing will take it.
I would guess that maybe all I end up with in the SE.
So far, overall, weather models performed very well, with placement of where the heaviest rainfall in Kentucky would be. Even the forecast amounts were pretty good, perhaps trending a little bit under the impressive totals area wide. Despite the initial rock hard ground acting like concrete when the heavier waves moved in, ponding, the ground eventually softened some and absorbed the much needed rainfall thereby reducing the flash flood threat to isolated areas, based on the number of warnings/advisories issued. I thought the call not to issue a Flash Flood Watch product was the right call.
Plenty of rain here in Lexington. So happy we’re out of the nasty pattern. Chris, I just read your tweet about being near to above normal for “fall” rainfall so far after the driest Sept ever. It’s also crazy to think that we are still above normal rain for the year. It could have been much much worse I guess…. because the driest year ever for Lexington was only 24.89 inches in 1930. So think about it, if this drought kept going until the end of the year with zero rain, we would have still been well above 1930. Can you imagine how dry it must have been here that year? It must have been terrible. Of course, that 1930 year was recorded downtown and not the airport. Who knows what the airport received that year (but it was probably the same or within a few inches + or -).
Rain just ended here where I live in Southern Ohio. Jackson, County. I have exactly 3 inches in my rain gauge.
Well, I think it is pretty obvious which counties stay in the drought monitor at the next update. Not even .10 in Harlan…yet. looks dismal to reach a quarter of an inch later:(….reminds me of how a lot of our winter systems track along the Ohio River, skipping over just the far SE KY counties. BLAH.