Good evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for an update to get y’all caught up on a very chilly and busy pattern for the next few weeks. We have a series of cold fronts on the way and these fronts should bring gusty winds, showers and storms and some major real deal fall chill.

Since I miss you guys with the Saturday update, here’s a blowout post to make up for it. 🙂

Before we look ahead, let’s look back on our frosty morning…

That’s back to back mornings with temps below freezing for many.

Our Monday looks awesome with a chilly morning and mild afternoon. Clouds will filter in during the afternoon as we get ready for our winter looks setup for late Tuesday into Wednesday. A potent system dives in from the northwest and brings a shot of October chill with it. At the same time, low pressure develops to our south and hooks up with the disturbance from the northwest. This cranks out a big storm going up the east coast…

That brings showers and a few storms to us late Tuesday and Tuesday night with some wraparound clouds and showers possible into Wednesday. If the clouds hang tough, that’s a cold day with temps that may not get out of the 40s for many areas…

Another frost and a light freeze would then be possible by Thursday and Friday mornings.

Temps should rebound quickly by the weekend as another powerhouse of a storm system cranks to our west. This will bring showers and storms our way and the setup may evening produce a few strong storms. As that passed by, watch the cold surge back in…

You can see a second surge of cold on the way at the tail end of that run of the European Model.

The European Model is showing quite a bit of rain over the next 10 days…

The GFS shows this first storm system and then the next system with another blast of cold and even a touch of winter…

The GFS Ensembles are showing the active pattern with above normal rainfall over these next two weeks…

It would be something to see this fall average above normal rainfall as a whole, even with the record driest September factored in. Extremes, my friends.

I’ll see you guys later tonight for another update. Have a good one and take care.