Good Thursday, everyone. It’s a pretty loaded pattern taking shape across the country over the next few weeks. We are tracking a tropical system, potent cold fronts and an overall setup that looks more like winter than the month of October.

Let’s start with today and stumble forward. Temps are generally back in the 50s for highs with a mix of sun and clouds. As clouds clear tonight, temps drop to the lowest readings of the fall, so far. Upper 20s and low 30s could bring a freeze to many…

You can see areas where the model believes will keep the clouds. If the clouds linger longer, temps stay up several degrees.

Friday looks phenomenal with temps mainly in the 60s and a mix of sun and clouds. Soak it up!

Our weekend forecast has a lot do with what happens in the Gulf of Mexico. I was telling y’all a few days ago that something tropical may get cranking here and sure enough, that looks to be the case. Regardless of how strong it gets, this is one moisture rich system…

That system likely heads toward the Florida Panhandle over the next few days. Here are the tracks from the Hurricane Models…

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/96L_tracks_latest.png

Some offshoot rain, at least, from this may make it all the way into the bluegrass state from late Saturday into Sunday. The best chance would be across the eastern half of the state.

Our next system then comes at us quickly on Monday in the form of a potent cold front. This is going to be a very active front with high winds and the potential for a line of strong storms sweeping eastward across the state…

Much colder air comes in behind that and this looks to become the common theme for the rest of the month.

The European Ensembles continue to indicate the flakes potential around here before the month is over…

I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.