Good evening, folks. As we continue through the weekend, a tropical system is taking a swipe at Kentucky. As that passes by, it’s all eyes on a potent cold front that may bring strong to severe storms on Monday. From there, a winter looking setup continues to take shape.

Let’s begin with the showers that are moving into areas of central and eastern Kentucky. This action will increase through the evening into the overnight. Locally heavy rain will be noted across the far southeast.

Sunday is a windy and mild day and I can’t rule out a stray shower. As the day wears on, clouds filter in ahead of the Monday system. The signal for strong storms has been there for a while and now the SPC has the entire state in a Marginal Risk for severe storms…

That may very well get bumped up to a Slight Risk later tonight. Damaging winds will be the number one player with the ling of storms as it races eastward. These storms will also be big rain makers and could put down 1″-2″ of rain for some…

The late week system continues to show up a big different with each model run. The latest run of the GFS matches the Euro with a slow-moving system that would bring a lot of rain, wind and very chilly air in here…

The pattern is then loaded with a winter look for the final week of October into early November. How this evolves with individual systems remains to be seen, but this continues to be a cold look on the Ensembles…

Make it a great evening and take care.