Another Busy Week Begins

Good Monday, everybody. Here’s hoping this blog post finds each of you enjoying life to the absolute fullest. We have some nice weather to kick off the first full week of November, but that won’t last very long. We have several cold fronts taking aim at our part of the world, bringing the potential for some winter weather over the next week or so.

Let’s begin with today. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted as temps head into the upper 50s to low 60s as winds increase. Those winds are ahead of a cold front dropping in here later tonight into Election Day. This will bring a few showers along for the ride, but not everyone will see drops from this…

With a few more clouds and scattered showers, temps will come down from where we are today.

Our next system rolls in here on Thursday as another front drops in from the northwest. This front has much colder air behind it and also has a wave of low pressure along it. That low likely bring us rain on Thursday and could bring rain and a little snow by Thursday night.

The models continue to focus accumulating snows just to our north. Here’s the Canadian…

The European Model is similar…

A few flurries could be noted behind that system into Friday morning as our strong northwest flow kicks in for a time.

From there, we cue up the next front. This boundary looks the part of the middle of January as it should have frigid arctic air coming in behind it. It may also have a wave of low pressure along it to give us a snow chance. The European Model continues to show all this well, but the latest run is getting quicker with the arrival time and has it in here late Sunday. Does this look like November?

That’s some wicked stuff we continue to see coming from the Euro. As always, we shall see.

I will have another update later today. Until then, have a great Monday and take care.

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8 Responses to Another Busy Week Begins

  1. Mike says:

    Thanks, Chris.

    It looks as if we have and interesting few weeks ahead of us. For me, I am on team snow.

  2. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, doesn’t really look like the “real deal” Arctic air is making it into the state of Kentucky. Mostly a mixture northwest Canadian air with North Pacific air and a lot of radiational cooling during the early morning hours. The coming mild dry days for next few days will be most welcome. This past week I had over three inches of rain in my back yard, which was the best rain since last spring. I hope we get more precipitation, but the chances are low for later in the week. As for the winter in my opinion doesn’t look to be the kind of winter that produces training snowstorms. I’m seeing that the North central part of the US is going to be the big winner for snowstorms this winter, and we will be on the warm side as the storm tract has been consistently tracking to our west. I attribute this to a strong Southeast high pressure ridge in the very warm surface sea temperatures of the Atlantic Ocean.

    • Schroeder says:

      Not much in the way of color around my home this Autumn. The trees look terrible. The worse I’ve seen since in the past eleven years. Will be glad when the leaves drop and blow away. At lease I will have fun racking the dried up leaves from around my home before Thanksgiving.

  3. Mike S says:

    Using the Euro, which had shown the coldest air arriving by the 12th, record low temperatures do not appear to be threatened for Louisville and Lexington. If it does arrive a day earlier, some records could be in jeopardy. Right now I have 18-22 for low temperature at Lexington on the 12th and very little if any snow on the ground. Louisville at 19-23 with a dusting to no snow.
    Of course, the Euro is still just outside of its comfort zone. I say give it a day or two. Teleconnections, which are not wholly reliable at the moment, wants to keep the coldest air just north and northeast of our areas. But, the AO is expected to keep our temperatures below average through the middle of the month. It will be fun to track. Just wish this was January, because this could have been some blockbuster storms to track.

    • Schroeder says:

      Mike S, the last time I checked we are in an ENSO neutral cycle and that doesn’t seem to go away. Our snowstorms and cold arctic temperatures always occur in ENSO ” weak El nino years ” where we would have an active Subtropical jet (+) and a negative (-) Polar jet phasing over the southern Rockies making for training snowstorms for the Ohio Valley. Not necessarily for my area of the state, but more so for the southern parts of Indiana and northwest Kentucky. Here in Taylor county it would be an Ice storm, but hopefully cold rain.

  4. Schroeder says:

    I hope my above ” comments ” will give more opinions as of lately the comment section of Chris’s blog has been lacking.

    • Prelude says:

      Comment section is completely fine and peaceful.

      • Schroeder says:

        I think it would be very informative if everyone would give their opinion on the up coming Winter. I am waiting to read or hear Chris Bailey’s predictions. I can’t get the station he is on in Lexington. Yes I can on the computer @ wkyt I keep forgetting the power of electronic technology. Old dumb me. LOL

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