First Light Snowfall Potential Increasing

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s a really nice weather day taking shape across the bluegrass state, but it’s all eyes on an arctic front ready to slam in here later Monday. This front will usher in near record lows and bring along our first chance for light accumulating snows across the entire region.

Let’s start you off with a breakdown of how things look to play out:

  • The slower arrival of the arctic front means milder temps during the daylight hours of Monday. Readings can reach the low 60s.
  • That just sets us up for a bigger drop with temps dropping like a rock as the front moves through. You may have a nearly 30 degree drop in just an hour or two.
  • Rain will develop in the afternoon and evening, but much of the precipitation is behind the front in the form or snow.
  • A nice shield of light to moderate snow is likely to develop and work across the state Monday evening through Tuesday morning.
  • A cold flow coming down the length of a relatively warm Lake Michigan will bring snow showers and flurries into our region on Tuesday.
  • Snow accumulations are a good bet, though I’m not ready to commit to specific totals and locations just yet. At this point, the entire state and surrounding areas would pretty much be in the coating-2″ range.
  • A First Call For Snowfall will come your way at some point today. 🙂
  • With such a rapid temperature drop, a flash freeze will be possible. This could cause some slick spots to develop Monday night and Tuesday.
  • The arctic cold air is very impressive! Temps stay in the 20s on Tuesday afternoon and that’s crazy hard to do this time of year. Lows on Tuesday morning can reach the teens in many areas. Record lows of 10-15 will be possible Wednesday morning.
  • Wind chills will drop into the single digits at times early Tuesday and early Wednesday.

The latest round of models continue to back up everything you just read…


Here’s the snow map from that run of the GFS…


Euro snow map…


Canadian snow map…

I will have multiple updates today, so keep checking back. Have a good one and take care.

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13 Responses to First Light Snowfall Potential Increasing

  1. Terry says:

    Even less than an inch will be impressive this early as I have only seen it a handful of times……I hope for more!

  2. Schroeder says:

    Bring on the SNOW big time for everyone wants it !

    • Prelude says:

      No that’s not true I do not want it. I want sunny lower 80’s a gentle SW breeze and low humidity a cold beverage on the porch swing or riding on the Harley either way is fine. However what I want and what I’ll get weather wise are two different things.

  3. Winterlover says:

    Bring it, if we get 2 inches that be more that what we had last winter

  4. BH says:

    Just enough to get everybody’s cars salty dirty.

  5. Rickie H says:

    We might actually have a delay or snow day. It’s hard to believe this early in the season,but I’ll enjoy it. Mr. Bailey will keep us updated on it all, and we will watch it all play out. Ya’ll have a blessed day.

  6. nasdaq says:

    rgem really lays down the snow in se ky, is it right? probably not, but its fun to look at

  7. 37.89*N 84.36*W says:

    The Russian is coming! The Russian is coming! It will be interesting to see the effects of this Siberian front as it rolls across the states to us. Hot chocolate? Moscow Mule?

  8. Russell says:

    Let it snow let it snow!

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