Watching A Late Week/Weekend System

Good Wednesday, everyone. Clouds are hanging tough across the region today as we turn our attention toward our next system showing up at the end of the week. This one has quite a bit of rain with it and this has a chance to end with some winter weather on Saturday. Beyond that, the pattern may throw a couple more systems our way over the Thanksgiving holiday period.

Low clouds may be pretty darn stubborn out there today. If that is the case, temps may not get out of the 40s where you live. If we can get some sun, readings reach the 50s.

Our next system begins to impact the region on Thursday as a few showers push in from the west and southwest. Temps can spike to 60 or so before the scattered showers arrive. From there, rain increases Thursday night into Friday as temps come back down.

That’s when the next low works into our region by Saturday, bringing more rain and the potential for a touch of winter weather late in the day. The track of the low on the Euro is just a little farther north than the last run, bringing just a chance for some flakes by Saturday evening…

The GFS has a similar theme, but this model is really a disjointed disaster with each run…

It’s also fun to watch the setup for early Thanksgiving week. It’s opposite day for the GFS and European Models because they’ve traded places with how they’re handling the setup.

The GFS is the most wound up and farther west with a monster of a storm…

The European is more progressive and farther east…

Once again, the truth is likely somewhere in the middle of those, but that run of the Euro matches what the JMA has been saying all along.

I will have your daily dose of updates later on so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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9 Responses to Watching A Late Week/Weekend System

  1. Bus Haynes says:

    Can you remember the old cold wave maps years ago they use to show. It would be calm before the cold front arrived and then the wind would blow 50 miles an hour as it came through.Temperatures went from 50 to 30 right now and by morning it would be zero. We really don’t get those fronts like that much anymore. The weather has really changed over the last 50 years to me.

    • Schroeder says:

      Bus, that weather situation was very common back in the 1960’s. In 1964 I just turned 13 years old and was living in a small town in southwest Indiana where I grew up, and that weekend ( Sunday) after Thanksgiving we had very warm and windy weather with cirrus clouds moving in from the northwest and I knew we were going to have a very pronounce weather change. By late evening it started raining and quickly turned into a blinding snowstorm as temperatures dropped into the low 20’s, and by morning we had 5 inches of snow on the ground and the temperature was around 2 below zero. Very dramatic to say the lease, and that’s one weather event I will never forget.

    • Schroeder says:

      Bus, 50 years ago we started in December 1969 one of the snowiest Winters I can remember. I have all the records.

      • Bus Haynes says:

        Schroeder we are just old guys I guess. But those things really happen back then. And you just do see it much any more.

  2. Mike S says:

    Well, at least the models are consistent…at being inconsistent.

  3. Schroeder says:

    Mike S, do you think that storm tract to our west on GFS model will be the dominate tract for the upcoming Winter ? If so that would really take down our chances for any significant snows this Winter here in the Ohio Valley. Sad.

    • Andy Rose says:

      WYMT has their winter weather outlook public. If its correct it would be more than double the snow of the last 2 yrs combined for me and that’s on the low end of their scale

    • Mike S says:

      Right now, all I can say is that the odds do favor an above normal snowfall for the region, except for eastern Kentucky where snowfall averages are well over 20″, which has been tough to come by for those in the last few years. But, I’m expecting even eastern Kentucky to benefit more from a favorable storm track, locals would identify this as an App Runner.

      • Terry says:

        Give me a Blizzard of 1993 anyday! It is kind of a cross between an epic App Runner and Noreaster as the low was more east of the Apps when leaving
        FL inland but then out to sea at the Delmarva Region. I so want my kids to see a storm like this before they are grown. I was 10 when the 1993 March Super Storm hit:)

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