Good Friday, everyone. Heavy rain is working across Kentucky early today with more rounds on the way tonight into Saturday. That’s when we also run the risk for a little winter weather to show up on the backside of low pressure working across the state.

In case you guys missed the winter forecast, the Kentucky Weather Podcast has the highlights and I talk about the whys behind the outlook. Give it a listen…

Let me begin with today and roll forward. Heavy rain is falling early today, especially across the southern half of the state. The rain will slow down from north to south as chilly air moves in, keeping us mainly dry from later this afternoon into the evening.

Here’s regional radar to be your early Friday BFF…

After a break into tonight, rain quickly returns early Saturday and continues through the day. That’s when low pressure works in from the southwest and rolls across the eastern half of Kentucky. Once the low passes to our northeast late Saturday, colder air sweeps in and could change the rain to some light snow or snow showers into early Sunday.

After a small hiccup in seeing this system, the NAM is back and showing the flake chances…

With that low, you’re going to see a big temp swing across the region. Check this out…

Gusty winds will add to the chill…

A seasonal chill will be in the air for Sunday as skies become partly cloudy.

As expected, the storm system for early Thanksgiving week continues to give the models fits. There continues to be a pattern with more energy than the models can handle. That’s a theme for the next week and change before arctic air takes control of the country once again.

The GFS went from a powerhouse plains storm to the weakest storm of all rolling into the Great Lakes…

The European and Canadian Models are similar with a stronger looking system than what they were showing with prior runs…

The systems coming in behind that are also wearing the models out and this will be the case until we get arctic air to flex some muscle. The signal continues to be strong with this one…

December has a chance to be our coldest and snowiest since 2010.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, make it a good one and take care.