Good afternoon, folks. Our Thanksgiving week is off and running on a very nice weather note, but it won’t be staying that way for much longer. Two major storm systems are set to impact our Thanksgiving travel period, with a smaller one sandwiched in between.
Showers and storms arrive late Tuesday into Tuesday night as storm number one heads into the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front across Kentucky. This will bring some big time winds our way and we could be talking about 50mph+ gusts…
The smaller system then throws a shower or two at us on Thanksgiving, especially across the western part of the state. With dry air in place, this may have a tough time getting too far east, but it may also start out as a ping of sleet in the west.
The next system quickly follows that up , impacting our weather from Black Friday through Monday. This storm wraps up to our west then cuts due east. Temps spike ahead of this then crash behind it, leading to the potential for strong or severe thunderstorms in the middle. Winds will also be very gusty as we go from thunderstorms to light snow in less than a day.
Listen, there’s a lot of extreme energy showing up on the weather maps and that means some big model struggles and model swings. Let me use the GFS as exhibit A. Watch how it drastically changes with the setup behind our first storm…
6z run
The GFS is the GFS, but this pattern will continue to cause some pretty big swings for each model as they are incapable of handling such extreme setups as the one we are seeing.
As far as the other models are concerned. The Canadian looks more like the 6z GFS…
The ICON doesn’t go out as far as the other models, but I can’t find any issues with what it’s showing through next Monday…
I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
I love it. Knoxville TN still at -13 degrees going for a high of 57.
https://www.weather.gov/mrx/
This is an obvious error, but it has been up for several hours today.
LOL!
Crazy! If one clicks any other point on the map (in KY, GA, SC, VA, NC, other parts of TN), one gets seemingly good temperatures. It’s only Knoxville that has the wacky reading.
It might be tempting to alert the good folks of NWS Morristown TN, but could be more fun to see how long it takes for them to catch on. 🙂
I think it would be more fun to see how long it takes them to catch on.LOL!
Well, turns out this has been an issue since last Friday. It’s only Knoxville’s Downtown Airport weather instruments that are the problem. The instruments at Knoxville’s McGhee Tyson airport (TYS) are apparently ok.
https://www.facebook.com/NWSMorristown/posts/2790999500931404
I wonder if there is a snow accumulation map that Chris sometimes posts to show the possibility of snow for the first of December?
It’s early….but what effect you think the weather will have on UL-UK on Saturday? Can the game be done before the weather fun starts?
Storm Prediction Center has upped the severe storm potential to a Slight Risk tomorrow evening for western parts of Kentucky and Tennessee. Mainly t-storms containing damaging straight-line winds, but maybe also a few tornadoes.
As CB touched on above, winds will be howling even outside of t-storms tomorrow. Then possibly another chance of severe t-storms towards the end of the week, then perhaps a little winter thrown in for good measure. Not boring times for sure 😉 !!