Good afternoon, everyone. Torrential rain continues to push across the bluegrass state. Flooding is ongoing with near 4″ of rain so far on the day and more to come.
The waves of showers and storms will be with us through tonight, keeping a VERY HIGH flash flood threat going. Here are your tracking tools…
Please keep a close eye on water levels as we go forward.
The snow potential continues to show up for Sunday night and Monday. Light accumulations from a coating to 2″ of wet snow will be likely during this time.
Here’s a check of the forecast models…
NAM
The GFS continues to see this more and more with each run…
The Euro seems to have some issues…
I will have another update later this evening. Have a good one and take care.
While Harlan Co has missed the bulk of the heavy rainfall from this system, I just reached an inch even at 4:25PM and this will be enough for my local to achieve a normal monthly average for November, currently at 3.49in and still raining!
Hopefully, my local can finally overachieve on snowfall Monday but I have a strong feeling that those high numbers consistently shown on the models today and all week so far are being skewed by higher elevations and want be seen in Harlan down low were most live:(
I totally agree with your earlier post about the storm track running g from the four corners to the Great Lakes area then across into New England. I guess maybe due to a permanently parked high pressure ridge over the southeast. Interesting that a lot of national sites had the West above normal temps and less snow while east of the Mississippi was colder and snowier. Just like last year it looks like a miss again. I wonder if it is because most of those predictions are coming from sites based in the east and they are wish casting.
I don’t know for sure since The Blob and other factors COULD help us out later on as 2014-2015 was pretty dead in December and most of January for snow when some of the same factors were present but I WISH, I WISH, I WISH…THIS CURRENT PATTERN TO FLIP. LOL!
It’s early yet for real cold.If November is a hint at the rest of winter I like our chances.-EPO/+PNA will dominate the pattern.Just need a little bit of a NAO to fight off suppression if the EPO is strong.Believe we finally get some southern stream action interacting with the Northern stream for a powerhouse sometime in January.After middle of January the tracking should begin.