Tuesday Midday Thoughts

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s another cold day in the bluegrass state as gusty winds make it feel even colder. There is a weak system dropping in from the northwest today and that has a chance to spit out a few sprinkles or flurries. As we look down the road, a cold shower maker arrives Friday with the potential for next week to turn into a headline maker across much of the country.

Let us begin with the afternoon and roll forward. Highs are generally in the 30s with a wind chill in the 20s. That weak system does drop in from the northwest and you can watch it here…

Wednesday and Thursday will see temps back closer to normal with a mix of sun and clouds. Clouds will increase by Thursday night ahead of our cold shower maker for Friday. This one is close to producing a few flakes in the north…

That’s a nice shot of cold behind it for Friday night into Sunday.

This is where things begin to get interesting. An arctic front moves our way early next week and may have a couple f low pressures along it. Heavy rain and gusty winds are likely ahead of this on Monday with arctic air spilling in behind it and the chance for some snow by Tuesday.

The GFS has the right idea, but is likely in progressive mode…

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4 and then again this evening on KWC. Have a good one and take care.

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16 Responses to Tuesday Midday Thoughts

  1. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    Good to see that we have a few sunny days back to back.

  2. Mike S says:

    Mark your calendars Lexington. The dates with the most measurable snowfall days (>= 0.1″) are…
    January 7
    January 30
    February 8
    Hopefully, it will snow more days than that for ya.

  3. AC says:

    Need the big H out in the Atlantic to move east.
    GFS has it stalling once it gets out so far thus why the storm isn’t tracking further south.

  4. Mr.Peabody says:

    Interesting indeed on today’s models.Impressive -EPO on the GFS.Along with overrunning events on the Euro.

  5. Mike S says:

    Btw CB, I saw your tweet about Lexington BG airport meeting about erroneous thermometer. Perhaps schedule a meeting with Kentucky Mesonet about what’s up with Lexington Mesonet thermometer. I have verifiable data that shows a high inconsistency rate of reporting temperatures especially on clear, calm nights when low temperatures have been among the highest in the state.

  6. Jimbo says:

    For what its worth. I just saw on WSAZ in the tri-state. Tropical air coming in from Sunday thru Tuesday. I guess that means showers and humidity. I can’t remember tropical air ever being forecasted in December. I guess I shouldn’t be surprised seeing as how our Winters are anymore.

    • Terry says:

      Big Flood Threat. 3 inches of rain down this way a few days ago and may get a ton this event coming!

    • Mr.Peabody says:

      We may warm up a few days but if and a big if models are correct middle of December shows promise.No signs of a prolonged torch yet that takes a month to beat down.It may change but for right now winter looks to be on track.Just go look at the 500 height anomalies on the GFS.Endless supply of cold air with that stout -EPO.Lets hope its right.If trough sets up East with active southern stream fun times.Not trying to get everyone’s hope up but at the moment looks good.

      • Bus Haynes says:

        I put as much faith in long range weather models as I do are
        politicians working together in Washington DC.

        • Mr.Peabody says:

          It’s all about learning and trying to read the models for the potential.If you like tracking winter weather then long range is just as fun.Especially when models show a good pattern may be around the corner.Interesting to see if they verify or not.If they don’t no big deal to me.

          • Bus Haynes says:

            Over my 69 years old I’ve seen a lot of winters and summers come and go. And most of them were without computer models. There is no set pattern. No two years are alike. There will always be a difference.
            That’s the problem now they put all these variables in a computer and it spits out what it thinks will happen. But they very rarely nail it right. Now if you enjoy following computers models that’s your choice. I’ll just wait till about 2 days out and see what’s really going to happen.

      • Terry says:

        Any hope is better than no hope:)

        Also, last year was so bad, we can only about go up for snow. I already have about half what I received for the entire season 2018-2019!

        • Bus Haynes says:

          I’ve had about 2 -1/2 inches total this fall season in Southern Ohio. We did get several small snows last year. The largest was little over 3 inches.

  7. Jimbo says:

    Just seeing that word tropical in a December forecast depressed me. I hate seeing the word tropical in a Summer forecast. It usually always means humidity, which is my most disliked type of weather.

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