Good evening, folks. With one more calm day ahead of us, it’s time to look ahead toward a much more active pattern. A weak system rolls in for an ugly Friday, but the main show doesn’t arrive into Monday and Tuesday. That’s a storm that unlocks arctic air.

As we get closer to Friday, the uglier things are looking. Rain will overspread the state and that will make for some nasty conditions. Rain totals are increasing and could approach a half inch in some areas…

The system moving in here early next week looks like a wild one. Rain, gusty winds, some thunder, temps near 60, a major temp crash, lows in the teens with some snows.

The GFS seems to have the best grasp of this system…

The European Model is likely dragging it’s feet too much with the initial system, but shows the major arctic blast well. It also shows another system right behind it and taking a southern route…

The overall pattern continues to be skewed colder than normal across much of the country. That’s been the trend since late October and it shows no signs of letting up. Look at the temp departures from the GFS Ensembles through December 20th…

I will see you guys later tonight with the latest. Until then, have a good one and take care.