A Loaded Pattern Ahead

Good Wednesday, everyone. The snow has ended across southeastern Kentucky and things look calm ofr  afew days, but don’t get used to it. We have a pretty loaded pattern on tap from late this week through next week and it’s likely to bring additional winter weather threats to Kentucky.

Our day is starting with quite a bit of snow on the ground in southeastern Kentucky. Several areas reported 4″ amounts and road crews were actually plowing some roads and several accidents were also reported. Numerous schools are also closed today because of the poor travel conditions, yet a Winter Weather Advisory was never issued by the NWS in Jackson.

The first system we are tracking arrives late Thursday night into Friday morning. It’s mainly a rain event, but temps will be around freezing as it arrives and that could lead to a touch of freezing rain…

Temps go above freezing pretty quickly, so rain will then take over on what looks like a gloomy day.

That system likely blows up as it works up the east coast Friday night into Saturday. That’s when a weak system dives in here behind it on Saturday and brings another round of rain and some snow…



That gets pushed to our east by a much bigger storm coming in behind it later Sunday into Monday. This is likely a significant winter storm for the Ohio Valley into early next week. The storm can bring all modes of winter precipitation to our region…


The Canadian looks similar to the Euro…

As usual, the GFS lives in a different world and wraps this storm up and takes it into the Great Lakes…

Right now, a lakes cutter isn’t the most viable solution. If anything, I would watch for a storm that moves more west-east than the models currently show.

I will have your usual updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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24 Responses to A Loaded Pattern Ahead

  1. Prelude says:

    Now where is good ole Jim B at? You snow lovers in SE Kentucky did not follow the Euro and Jim B trends trends trends. Instead 2-4 inches of snow fell.

    • Jim B says:

      Uh, fact check friend…. “ole Jim B” only talked about central ky, check the posts, and was on the money again… the trends still continue, and will march on, in fact, get ready for more rain with the Sunday/Monday system, for CENTRAL Ky…. Holla!!

      • Prelude says:

        Jim B through the red flag and after further review Jim B is correct he did state central Kentucky therefore the result and ruling on the blog is weather touchdown for team Jim B. I stand corrected and will eat my humble pie gracefully.

  2. Winterlover says:

    Yeah I don’t want to hear folks from South East part of ky saying they don’t get snow. Lol

    • Andy Rose says:

      Corbin KY which is in SE Ky got nada. Barbourville which also is in SE Ky just got a coating.

    • Troy says:

      No one said we “never” get snow and btw, after this snow we now sit at just over 3 inches in 3 years time in Middlesboro…which is significantly behind almost all the rest of the state.

    • Bobt says:

      You consider an inch of snow a deal breaker? My area is still not broken the dome since ’98. Not many areas of Kentucky can lay claim to that. We missed out on all the good snows three or four years ago that blanketed most of the state.

  3. BubbaG says:

    I see a lot of pink in them there model forecasts. Hopefully they do as bad with ice as their snow modeling 😉

  4. Terry says:

    Officially, I only came up with 2 and 1/4 (non ground). About 2 inches on the ground itself with some areas higher and some lower but the standard to use is a solid object, so I am recording 2 and 1/4. In all reality, I am sure 3 inches fell but it took a while to over come the heat.

    ***Especially considering what he had to work with, Chris did an outstanding job with his forecast and deserves to know so!***

    Officially and not that it took much (LOL), I just beat out the crappy 2018-2019 season. I am at 3 and 1/2 so far on this very young season. Got to go to work. You all have a good day!

    • Jimbo says:

      Glad you already beat last year. The bar wasn’t set high, but at least you are over it. I had about half an inch by dark yesterday, ground was dusted. Looked out about 10pm and most of it had melted. Kinda odd with temps in the twenties by then. I guess the ground was too warm and wet. Was a nice brief Christmas scene.

    • TennMark says:

      Great, Terry. Hope your kids will be able to play in at least one more good snow this season. This winter will probably be a bit too early for my little daughter to appreciate snow. But perhaps in no time, she (future meteorologist?!! 🙂 ) will be doing snow angels!

  5. feederband says:

    The Ohio Valley is big geographically. Someone will get a major winter storm. Might as well be us. I can’t think of anyone who deserves it more.

  6. RichmondTeacher says:

    I know it has been brought up recently so please forgive……
    What do I do about the Abode popping up to install and also when I get on kyweathercenter.com on my phone, it shows a post from about a week ago.
    What can I do to fix this?

  7. Schroeder says:

    Local phasing is what caused the minor snow event in the southeast Kentucky and east Tennessee. Chris Bailey predicted this event at the end of last week, so I give him the credit. I just forecasted base on his prediction because I understood what he was talking about. I did not care for the post of yesterday afternoon belittling me and calling me an ” arm chair meteorologist. ” I am more than that and I’ve had advance training in Meteorology and could have easily gone into research, but I made the mistake of getting my degree in Agriculture. It does not take a college degree to be a horticulturist or one who likes to garden for a hobby. I play dumb on this weather forum because I have a problem with people calling me some stupid name without really knowing me. Yes, I have been insulted on this forum many times even after trying to fit in on the conversation of meteorology but I have failed in making any progress in correcting such. I had come to the conclusion that your generation and mine are much different and no matter what I say on this weather forum about meteorological events it is not going to be taking seriously. Again, you don’t know me and my capabilities in the profession of meteorology. I wish I could write more, but I hate to type on a computer, but I can tell you right now how our current Winter will actually turn out. You will just have to wait to May 2020. The end, and everyone have a Merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year 2020.

    • Prelude says:

      Looks like someone forget to take his meds this morning. Schroeder’s multiple personalities are back, shame too you were doing so well.

      • Prelude says:

        Debbie how could you call Schroeder a “arm chair meteorologist” you have upset him very very much. See what defending Schroeder will get you? I mean you were Schroeder’s biggest fan and to see him call you out I just don’t know about you but I’m flabbergasted, unreal some just have to learn the hard way. lol

    • Troy says:

      Hate to be the bearer of bad news but unless you are a certified meteorologist by the AMS, you are in fact the same as the rest of us here Schroeder…..an armchair meteorologist. BTW, no….you cant tell us how the winter will actually turn out! 😉 🙂

      • Prelude says:

        Don’t you go slandering Schroeder’s name through the mud. Schroeder stated we all don’t know what his capabilities are in the meteorology profession. Schroeder can also play the role of Nostradamus and tell us exactly what will happen this winter. We all just got to be patient and wait till May of 2020. By then and only then will Schroeder release his findings.

  8. Jimmie says:

    I, for one, am pulling for a GFS-like solution to next week’s system. I’m perfectly fine with a cold rain versus the dark pink stuff.

  9. Rolo says:

    Loaded pattern and. Another Miss by the mimodels. Why did you mentio. That it’s 2 forc2 misses with last 2 snows for sated by models. A dusting in 85 percent of clay county as it was to late getting cold enough. I am quitting the blog and models in the winter time l. See why if bailey don’t pull tbevtrigger u can forget getting snow

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