Friday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a dreary day across the Commonwealth as rains increase to kick off the weekend. It’s a weekend that will feature two more systems through early next week. Those can bring plenty of action our way as we get into a setup that brings a mixed bag of precipitation for some.

Let;s begin with what’s going on today. Rain will increase across central and eastern Kentucky and could become heavy at times this evening. Here are your radars…

As this low wraps up to our east, it will bring colder air in behind it later tonight and early Saturday. That may result in a period of rain and some snow. Later Saturday we will find another disturbance that can kick off a few rain and snow showers.

Our next system then rolls our way by Sunday afternoon and evening. This pushes a swath of precipitation from west to east. Farther south, this is mainly rain. Along and north of the Interstate 64 corridor, snow and a wintry mix pushes through.

Here’s how the hi res NAM sees all this…

The European Model continues to have the greatest concentration of snow and winter weather late Sunday before rain takes over as low pressure works across Kentucky on Monday…

That’s from  the 6z run of the Euro and only goes through Monday evening.

The NAM goes through the same time period but shows a switch back to snow by Monday evening…

The GFS is similar in taking the low across Kentucky with a swath of snow and winter weather across the north on Sunday, then a lot of rain, then cold and a few snow showers…

That run of the GFS cranks out a ton of rain…

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4 and with another KWC update later this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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11 Responses to Friday Afternoon Update

  1. Putz says:

    Most will see nothing but rain, Far north and i mean very far north will an early mix then rain, The pattern just isn’t set up for snow here yet, Not yet!! Hopefully that will come for Christmas but not seeing that either! Storm track just isn’t far enough south yet, Again hopefully that will change, If it doesn’t look for mostly a rainy winter!

  2. Which Way is the Wind Blowing says:

    I figured out a couple of days ago that this was the way the storm was going to play out. I have seen this pattern so many times.
    Kentucky is the 40’s degree & rain inland capital of the USA.

  3. BengalFan says:

    I guess I’m not allowed to feel negative about all this rain. I should look on the positive side..just like my Bengals–its ok that we absolutely stink (We will get the 1st overall draft pick this year!!!!!!!…wait for it, wait for it….THEN stink that pick up as well.

    Serious side though….I’m not complaining about the forecast, I’m just tired of 40’s and rain (who isn’t)!

    • SkiWi says:

      It would be nice to see snow on Christmas. I remember white Christmas’s in the 70’s and 80’s. Most Kids these days have no clue what a white Christmas is about. Even if we didn’t get a full on storm occasionally we’d get some lake effect. Heck it seems lake effect doesn’t even exist any longer. I think the point is that their is something very wrong. What is causing it, I have no idea, but our climate has indeed changed.

      • Terry says:

        I wasnt alive in the 70s but at least remember more frequent white Christmases during my childhood in the 80s and 1990s. Now, it has been 10 years since the last white Christmas in Harlan.

      • TennMark says:

        Christmas 2010 pops into my mind. Bowling Green and other parts of KY got several inches. So did Nashville TN, Huntsville AL.

        Even as far south as Auburn AL measured an inch, only the second White Xmas there in recorded history.

        Little Rock got close to a foot of snow Christmas day 2012. Yes, Little Rock, Arkansas! 😉

        • Terry says:

          2010 was last White Christmas in Harlan:) same system!

          Being close to TN/VA, we dont get much snow from “Ohio Valley” systems but more of a chance with TN Valley up the east side of Appalachian systems here.

  4. BubbaG says:

    Unless we cherry pick models and disregard the actual trends and model averages, it does not look super spiffy for snow next week- for most of us anyway.

    • Terry says:

      The far north in our area may get some but looks to turn to all rain and flash melt whatever occurs north of I-64. Not pretty and honestly, I would rather have all cold rain than a quick snowfall be melted by rain to finish a system. BLAH!

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