Friday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. It’s a VERY ugly evening across the bluegrass state as rounds of rain roll through here. This system blows through by Saturday afternoon as we then focus on the Sunday/Monday system. That one continues to trend flatter, bringing all modes of precipitation to the state.

Right out of the gate, let’s track our ugly evening…

As this system wraps up to our east early Saturday, a few snowflakes may mix in across the north. Things improve a bit by the afternoon, but I can’t rule out a rain or snow shower later in the evening.

The Sunday-Monday system continues to trend flatter on the GFS, bringing it more in line with what the European Model has been showing from day one.

This would bring snow, a wintry mix and rain from west to east across the state Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. As the low tracks on top of Kentucky and into West Virginia on Monday, rain should be the primary player, but we need to watch for a farther south track of the low. As is, we may have a 30 degree temp difference from north to south across the state. As that low goes by, more flakes should fly late Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Here’s the Euro…

The Euro snow map continues to target the northern half of the state…

The late afternoon run of the GFS is finally buying into what the GFS has been selling for a while…

The snowfall on the GFS continues to edge farther south into northern Kentucky…

There’s a second front that dives in here Tuesday night and delivers a few flurries or snow snow showers. This unleashes some very cold air for Wednesday. Look at the numbers…

I will have the new model runs on WKYT-TV at 11 and on KWC later tonight. Have a good one and take care.


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7 Responses to Friday Evening Update

  1. Mark says:

    Maybe it’s just me, but I don’t consider lows in the upper teens and highs in the low 30’s to be “very cold” by December standards. We’ve seen much colder. Other than those quick cold shots, the pattern is still skewed warmer than average, depicted by the averages thus far this month and what the models are showing in general through Christmas. The true arctic air is just having a hard time getting much farther south than the extreme northern US.

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