Good evening, folks. Here’s hoping you’re making the best of what has been a very dreary weather day across our region. As we move ahead, our focus is on the winter weather and flood threat coming from late Sunday through Tuesday morning.

My thoughts continue to be the same with winter weather and flooding possible across Kentucky. Where you live will be the determining factor on which of those you could see.

Let’s start with the late Sunday-early Monday winter weather potential. My thoughts since Friday remain unchanged…

Areas across northern Kentucky are likely to pick up accumulating during this time, especially in the Covington area. Accumulations will tail off fairly quickly the farther south you get down toward Interstate 64.

Rain takes over as the main precip on Monday and is likely to be heavy at times. This could be enough to cause flooding issues across parts of central and eastern Kentucky.

As colder air comes back in Monday night and early Tuesday, another band of snow may show up in northern Kentucky and slowly slip to the south and southeast. Right now, that looks light.

The models continue to trend farther southeast with the low. We have some pretty good agreement among the various models.

GFS Ensembles

GFS Ensembles snow map

GFS

GFS snow map

NAM

NAM snow map

NAM freezing rain map

The Canadian snow map continues to be more generous…

Euro snow map

All those snow maps are through Tuesday and not just for the Sunday night portion of the storm.

For the rain numbers, the GFS and NAM are showing numbers that can cause flooding issues to develop…

GFS

NAM 

This is a nice Ohio Valley winter storm and will bring a lot of different weather our way through Tuesday. I will have another update, including a First Call For Snowfall, later tonight.

Enjoy the evening and take care.