Another Heavy Rain Event Ahead

Good Tuesday and Happy New Year! 2019 is going out on a relatively cold note with a few flakes showing up for some. As we hit 2020, we focus on another big rain maker rolling in here for Thursday and Friday. This looks to bring another high water threat to the region before winter tries to settle in for a spell.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Mostly cloudy skies will be noted across central and eastern Kentucky with a few flakes possible. The best chance for that happening is across the north and east. Here’s regional radar to try and find a flake for you…

New Year’s Day starts in the 20s and ends in the 40s with a mix of sun and clouds. Enjoy the dry weather because it changes in a hurry on Thursday.

That’s when another potent system works our way from the south, bringing heavy rains. The early call is for a general 1″-2″ of rain with locally higher amounts showing up across the south and southeast. With a saturated ground and swollen waterways, the threshold for flooding is pretty low, so it won’t take much to bring renewed flooding.

The GFS is just beginning to see the heavy rain potential…

The ICON is much more pronounced with the heavy rain…

The Canadian Model is also on board with a significant rainfall…

The rain will likely change to some snow on Saturday as much colder air comes in behind this storm.

Another system needs to be watched early next week as this one could be a true winter weather maker around here…

I will have your normal updates later today. Make it a fantastic final day of the year and take care.

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21 Responses to Another Heavy Rain Event Ahead

  1. TennMark says:

    Happy New Years Eve, weather weenies!

    Chris tweeted earlier he feels the March 2 2012 tornadoes were easily Kentucky’s top weather story of the decade. Indeed, one has to go way back to the April 3 1974 “Super Outbreak” for a day in the state with more tornadoes.

    The April 27 2011 tornado outbreak (sometimes called “Super Outbreak II”) could be the top wx story of the decade for Tennessee.

    Other contenders for a Top 5 or Top 10? They could include the January 2011 winter storm (including frequent thundersnow) that left nearly 20 inches snow in some parts of south central Tennessee (near the Alabama line). The 2012 extreme summer heat in KY/TN. The 2014 flash floods in and near Johnson County KY. The January 2016 heavy snows (including Nashville TN, south central KY). The late 2016 drought/brush fires in KY/TN (especially the devastating forest fire in Gatlinburg TN).

    I’m sure I’m unknowingly leaving out other notable weather events. I was about to mention the 2009 ice storm, then realized wrong decade! 😉

    • TennMark says:

      Whoops, the Johnson County KY flash flood was 2015 not 2014.

    • Terry says:

      The month of February 2015 as an extreme cold duration and snowy month could be a top 10 as an extreme pattern event. Or if someone wants only a short duration event, one of those big February and early March 2015 storms should each be top 10 worthy!

  2. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    The system early next week is to good to be true.

  3. Farmer43 says:

    If it really did happen it would be in the 50s next day or two after but you know that’s not gonna happpen I hear the train a coming coming around the bend everyone have their tickets for the rain train

  4. Bjenks says:

    Trends….The week away storm. Well IF it happens hopefully it is the start to true winter. I really don’t think it happens as I am holding out for mid January thru Feb for our real deal winter.

  5. BengalFan says:

    “Winter tries to settle in for a spell”….these words can be taken in two ways…let’s vote(since I really don’t want to think about more rain coming)
    1. A spell means winter weather (cold and snow) will be here for a good amount of time

    2). Winter weather is here for like 2 days.. then more rain

    I want 1, but I vote it means 2.

    Chris… what does “a spell” mean?

  6. Jim B says:

    Again, you see green, change the screen… that one heading north, and seems to be trending that way already. Cincy may have a shot at a couple of inches, dusting in parts of northern ky possibly. The rest of us?? That’s right, RAIN.

  7. Terry says:

    Two bold predictions for the new year and the first one ya’ll may argue against me and that is fine as I understand:)

    1) Overall and areawide, I think we will end up with more snow SEASON TOTAL than the past few years. This is not saying a great season or epic, just a little better.

    2) I predict 2020 overall will be very warm/wet and we end up beating out 2019 and rivaling 2018 for new wettest year on record. Doesn’t mean we dont get a dry spell or two but yearly total I say way up there!

    There…you can’t argue with # 2 and most except winter weather haters will want my #1 even though you all want believe it, LOL!

  8. Jim B says:

    I vote 24 to 48 hrs….. meaning highs in mid 30s, just right for a cold rain during the day, and 20s at night for a couple of days…that is what is now viewed as a winter spell in Ky

    • Jimbo says:

      You are right. Today’s predicted backside snow showers/flurries are nowhere to be found. Wait! They are out there, just up north of I70 where all the Clippers and backside snows have been for years now.

  9. Winterlover says:

    When it does snow and there’s accumulated on ground some of you naysayers won’t say a word on this blog. It does snow here in KY folks were just in spell of wrong pattern to get it which is normal. It all comes in cycles.

  10. Bus Haynes says:

    Bound to get one right one of these days right?

  11. Winterlover says:

    Yes sir that is. Dang phone lol

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