Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Rain continues to overspread the region from southwest to northeast and this continues through the rest of the day. Rounds of heavy rain and some thunder will continue through Friday, targeting southeastern Kentucky with the heaviest totals and the best chance for high water.

Here’s a look at the areas with the greatest risk for flooding through Friday night…

The GFS is now forecasting 3″ rains in the southeast…

The Canadian Model continues to be much more widespread with the heavy rain potential…

An invisible wall keeps the Flood Watches in Tennessee…

The threat for snow comes on Saturday as low pressure wraps up and moves to our northeast…

Sticking snows are possible Saturday afternoon into the evening…

GFS Canadian

I’ve got the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and will have another update on KWC later this evening. I leave you with your Thursday afternoon tracking tools…

Have a good one and take care.

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9 Responses to Thursday Afternoon Update

  1. Terry says:

    I bet I top 3 inches in Harlan from this event. There is an increased chance tonight and tomorrow morning of low top convection reaching far SE KY which could bring a quick 1 to 2 inches in only about 6 or so hours.

    Oh well…We can issue our own flood watches, LOL.

  2. BubbaG says:

    Thanks CB!

    Since significant snow does not appear to perhaps be a prevalent theme this winter, perhaps the winter storms can be called a Wet Threat 😉

    Not sure I’m joking.

    • Jimbo says:

      I love your suggestion, couldn’t be more appropriate.

      • Terry says:

        With the MJO going towards phase 4 and 5 and a nasty, negative PNA, we may really get swamped this month. I could easily see this as a double digit MONTHLY rainfall month, and not in snow either:(

  3. Terry says:

    This is a cla*s*s*ic Harlan flood threat, no down downsloping winds in this type of set-up. Unfortunately, that is not good but I am glad I missed the bulk of the weekend rain a few days ago.

    As far as snow, it could briefly accumulate but too dang warm and will be a flash melt. Only high up really stands a chance at more than an inch and that is what the models agree on! I haven’t even reached 32 for a low now in over a week, although this morning was close at 34.

    Palms are growing, slow but growing in winter, LOL:)

  4. Illinois Mike says:

    The average temperature for Chicago for December was 34.0 degrees, which was 6.3 degrees above normal. Just 1.55 inches of liquid-equivalent precipitation fell, which was .7 inches below normal. Only 2.0 inches of snow fell in Chicago for the month, and 1.7 inches here in the SW suburbs.

    We had more snow in October and November than in December! Also, the average temp for Chicago for November was 34.8 degrees, just .8 degrees warmer than December!

    2019, with 49.64 inches of liquid-equivalent precipitation, turned out to be the third-wettest year here on record.

    No major cold spells or snows are predicted here for at least the next week. It may turn colder early next week, but temps will still be a bit above normal. We may get a half-inch of snow on Saturday morning if we’re lucky.

    It’s a partly cloudy, 48-degree day today.

  5. Dave says:

    Seems like rain is pounding Tennessee and lightening toward SE Ky. Dry slotting just like showtime lol.

  6. BubbaG says:

    CB already said the cold air is up to the north of the US. That probably means when it does head south like a banshee and gets really cold here, it will also be dry 😉

  7. Andy Rose says:

    So far the rain hasn’t been as bad as advertised here only 0.4 so far. The rain we had the other day was a lot t worse

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