Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, everyone. We continue to track rounds heavy rain across parts of the state as we focus on the potential for high water issues across the south and southeast through Friday night. All of this will then end as some snow on Saturday.

There’s nothing more I can say about the rain of the next few days. Areas of southern Kentucky will cross the 1″ threshold late this evening with more rain to come Friday and Friday night. That’s the area to focus on for the best high water potential…

The change to some snow continues to show up for our Saturday as colder air wraps in behind the departing low…

The GFS continues to put down some slush with that…

Another system comes in here by Tuesday with rain, snow and a mix. I’ll talk more about that system and take a look at where I think the pattern goes from there with my next update.

As usual, I leave you with your tracking tools…

Have a great evening and take care.


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8 Responses to Thursday Evening Thoughts

  1. Terry says:

    Poor ole Jimbo is right at zero with the GFS. Again, I am definitely not crazy about the GFS, but very short term, the GFS seems like it can detect areas of variation in temps better lately; thus, it has also been able to show lack of snowfall and seems to have done well this year with our tiny events since mid November, so far.

    • Jimbo says:

      I didn’t expect anything, especially since it would a backside scenario with temps marginal and a very warm ground. Next week will be 99% rain too. I just read today no cold in eastern U.S. for the foreseeable future. I think we are nearing the point where we can cancel Winter for the fourth straight year. On a side note, I know it is early but ski season has to be off to a horrible start.

  2. Jim B says:

    Green, change the screen… Rain next week, not enough cold… trend is not changing folks, this is your Ky winter from here on out… soon our coldest days will come in Nov…. I think we may be there now, not sure. But it’s going that direction in the years to come, and it’s not going back

  3. Farmer43 says:

    No one worry for the last month and a half winter is only two weeks away Lol good thing I wasn’t holding my breath

  4. SkiWi says:

    I read an article that even in Russia temperature are above normal. Bears are waking from hibernation and buds are popping up. Places that should be white with snow are brown and soggy. The climate is a mess. Usually if we are warm then they are cold or the West is cold. Very strange indeed.

    • BubbaG says:

      Very strange in that the cold is more north. It is displacement. The problem is the longer the delay, the more potential for crazy cold later. Snow… not so much.

      At least the models are back to fake outlooking snow for KY, and then slowly drifting north as usual. Tuesday was showing significant snow just a day ago and now a Wet Threat. Winning!

      • Terry says:

        What is scary is that it shows mid 60s already in Harlan next weekend. Generally, temps skew more to average far out and I wonder just how much they may bump up by then, if not constantly raining. 80 before the month is out? Almost 80 last year but it was February instead of January.

  5. Russell says:

    Winter will be all rain.

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