A Little Snow Before A Lot Of Rain

Good evening, folks. Our super duper active weather pattern kicks into high gear for the week ahead as several systems roll into the region. The first brings a swath of light snow Monday night and Tuesday, with the next two set to bring a lot of rain.

The Monday night and Tuesday system has been on our radar for many days now. The models had been cutting this system to the Great Lakes but our southward correction was on to something. As a matter of fact, the models have corrected so far south that mainly southern and southeastern Kentucky look to get in on some snow. This is a fast-moving system, but it can throw down light accumulations. Here’s the area with the best chance of seeing some snow on the ground…

That system zips through very quickly, so you only have a small window of opportunity to get snow from this. I will probably be able to put out a First Call For Snowfall map later tonight.

We have been targeting late next week through early the following week for the possibility of flooding rains around here. The focus area remains unchanged…

The first big heavy rain maker rolls into the region late Thursday and likely takes us through Saturday. Rounds of rain and some strong thunderstorms will be possible during this time. Here are the rain numbers from just this first system…

Canadian

GFS

Euro

Obviously, you are going to see variation from model to model and run to run, but the main takeaway is still the same… A lot of rain will fall from this first storm.

Sunday looks to give us a brief break in the action, but the next big rain maker looks to move in by Monday and Tuesday. Check out the rainfall numbers from just that storm on the Euro…

The sad thing is, we could get another system to come in behind that one later next week.

I’ll see you guys for an update later tonight, so check back. Until then, enjoy your Sunday evening and take care.


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20 Responses to A Little Snow Before A Lot Of Rain

  1. Terry says:

    As bad as things are so far this winter, I have already BARELY beat out last year, and for some glimmer of hope for me, Harlan seems to be in the sweet zone for what little snow chances have occurred.

    Season total is 3.62 inches of snow, so far. If the precip comes mostly Monday night and before noon, I might get accumulation, but I still think high up is about the only accumulation from this little system. As always, I will report whatever happens.

    • Debbie says:

      Well, looks like you’ll see snow(a taste of it, anyhow!) this go-round, Terry. (Hope so, anyway!) Not liking this rain issue AT ALL. I’m not in a flood plain here in Bardstown, but we just moved a couple months ago and my main worry has been “How do we get up that dang hill to our house in snow/ice??!” Now, I just go out on that big deck and think….”Didn’t know we were gettin’ “lake-front property?!” ๐Ÿ˜€

      • Terry says:

        I know! The rain for the past 4 years has been insane:0

        I wish ALL OF US could at least see an ankle biter areawide, but for the first time in a few years, far SE KY seems to be lucky with these few little snows so far, LOL. At least the one in December covered my yard good and was super pretty. It has still been 4 years (Feb 2016) since my last 4 inch plus snow. I hope, pray, wish, meditate upon, desire, ponder on and simply WANT a change to some winter by February!

        • Debbie says:

          My last “big” snow was-and I’m sure somebody will try to correct me on this, even though they have no clue…(ahem!)-I think it was last March or April…Nelson Co. got underneath one of those little heavier bands of snow one morning and we had like 6-7″. I know, I couldn’t believe it, either, but by about 2pm, it was all gone. Those little deformation bands that set up & hold together seem to be about my last hope in seeing anything more than a toe-tingler lately. But I do have a feeling that later this month and into Feb. will be a real booger….we shall see! ๐Ÿ™‚

          • Terry says:

            I still have some hope too ๐Ÿ™‚

            A long ways to go to change this current pattern, but hope is all we have right now.

            Instead of the phrase from The Bee Movie, “Thinking Bee,” we need to start, “Thinking snow,” “Thinking snow,” “Thinking snow” LOL

    • Andy Rose says:

      I’ve beat out last yr to but only less than a half an inch of snow so far for my area

      • Bobt says:

        Andy we have still not really busted the dome of ’98 in our part of the state. Only a few places can lay claim to that. Even the last big event around our area took hours longer for the changeover than other places. Not looking good at least in the short term.

      • Terry says:

        I remember watching the little November snow barely miss you in Knox, then Troy and I got a little extra plume of moisture at the last minute and barely hit 1 inch. Then you barely missed that 2 to 3 inch snow we got in December. I had 1/8 inch yesterday night, mostly sleet but fully covered the porch, cars and actually dusted the warm ground. VERY LUCKY THIS YEAR SO FAR, LOL, AS SAD AS THAT IS TO SAY GIVEN HOW LITTLE SNOW:)

  2. Farmer43 says:

    Canโ€™t wait for the term back loaded winter to start lol that will probably not happen winter of 19 20 worse than last year two really cold days in November dusting of snow and that is basically it what happened to Alberta clippers or just off and on snow showers Iโ€™m not even asking for a major winter storm

  3. AC says:

    Might not be snow days, might be flood days coming for some.

    Mother nature will take care of ensuring bad weather, one way or the other.

  4. Jimbo says:

    I am currently sitting at 1.4 inches of snow so far, pathetic. The way this year has gone and with the last 3 years as evidence, I think I could register a top 10 least snow Winter. Top 5 might be in play too.

  5. Kasher1979 says:

    I honestly canโ€™t even take reading the blog any longer. End up depressed. This is so sad.

    • Ruth says:

      I agree. As a snow lover, this is awful. Of course, though, flooding is more of an issue than no snow. I am worried about what will happen. There have been times our road has been flooded for a couple days.

  6. Cold-Rain says:

    Guess you could say if it snows Tuesday in this pattern It can snow anytime..lol.One way of looking at it..

  7. JT says:

    my desire for snow dwindles by valentines day. that’s when I usually start wanting springtime sunshine, longer days and the joys of mowing my lawn ๐Ÿ™‚ โ€ฆ.. I just hope my lawn doesn’t turn into a soaked sponge like the summer of 2018. that was awful.

    • Bobt says:

      High temps start getting tolerable to spend prolonged time outside after VALENTINE’S DAY. Heck temps have been more than tolerable the whole month of December and the foreseeable future of January this year.

  8. Russell says:

    RIP winter….rain train on steroids….

  9. Mike S says:

    Places like Covington, who have received 5.7″ for the snow season, and Lexington (1.8″) and Jackson (1.7″), these and more are now running below normal in the snowfall department.

  10. Mike S says:

    The wettest decade (2010-2019) ever, and yet, to my surprise, ones in Lexington and Louisville would have to go back to 1951, the last time they recorded a top ten wettest January. If forecast numbers verify for the rest of this month, that could change.

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