Sunday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. We have a weak system crossing southern parts of the state through early Monday, bringing mainly rain to this part of the region. Things remain active after that with another system rolling in here by Wednesday, with the potential for a bigger system across the eastern US by next weekend.

Showers will continue to increase through the night across the southern half of Kentucky. I can’t rule out a wet flake or two, especially in the mountains.

Here are your radars…

Seasonally colder air comes in following that with the potential for a few flurries or a snow shower by Tuesday.

The next system moves in for Wednesday, but how much of an impact can we get from this? It’s a southern system rolling from west to east. Several of the models have been weakening this system quickly as it reaches Kentucky. The NAM is not among them and brings a nice swath of accumulating snow…

The European is among the models crushing this system as it moves into western Kentucky…

It’s not like there is a big cold high to the north of that to steer it south and crush this thing, so let’s see if any other models join the NAM party later this evening.

In terms of the weekend system, the European Model is also crushing this system way, way south…

That may very well be a case of the Euro holding on too long to energy coming from the southwestern part of the country. That’s one of the biggest biases of the model.

The GFS has a much bigger system rolling up the east coast with a second system diving in behind it…

The Canadian is similar…

We shall see, but it’s actually good to have some potential to track! 🙂

Enjoy the evening and take care.


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8 Responses to Sunday Afternoon Update

  1. Jim B says:

    Models providing entertainment value once again, but that will be it

  2. Terry says:

    We will take what we can get snow wise. At least there is a change in the oscillations to slightly favorable for some winter in the east going into February….still needs more correcting but better on the PNA, NAO and AO for the first time since November!

    • Putz says:

      I agree with you on the PNA, NAO AO.. Even the SOI is getting on board with this.. I believe at this point there will be a 2 to 3 week period where we get our winter.. I think it will also be into March but not as pronounced. But we shall see..

      • Terry says:

        Fingers crossed as even a better pattern doesn’t guarantee a lot of snow but we need the pattern change to at least have opportunities.

  3. Jim B says:

    Not enough cold people, and it will remain that way

    • Jimbo says:

      I wish you was wrong but I think you are right. My area has highs forecasted near 50 next weekend. Most of the time i think they go with the GFS but I guess this time they are going with the EURO since it is showing a miss or rain.

  4. Russell says:

    Winter and snow AWOL

  5. Rodger in Dodger says:

    Worst winter Rodger can remember. Pathetic, really. Rodger in Dodger

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