Good Sunday, everyone. A weak system is moving into the region today, bringing the chance for a shower or two with it. The week ahead will find some big temp swings as a more powerful front enters the picture. Can we squeeze out a little winter weather behind this system? There’s, at least, a small chance for that.

Before we get to that, let’s take a little trip back in time. It was 5 years ago today we were dealing with the first of two back to back shutdown snowstorms across Kentucky…

5 Years Ago Today

Relive the lead up to this massive storm…

The Day Before The Storm

Watch The Forecast Come Together 2 Days Before

How much fun was that?!!!!

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Temps will range from the upper 40s to the middle 50s, depending on where you are in relation to clouds and any shower action. The showers won’t be terribly widespread by any means, but a few show up across the central and east.

Here’s regional radar to follow along…

Temps spike to near 60 on Monday as we wait on our strong cold front. This will bring gusty rains from late Monday through Tuesday as colder air quickly filters in behind the boundary. Can we get a second wave of low pressure to develop and roll east along this front once it gets to our south? That’s the question I’ve been asking for a few days now.

The models haven’t been too keen on this idea, but the new NAM is giving it a chance. It only goes out through Wednesday morning, but you can see a swath of light snow developing at the end of the run…

The GFS still has the second system going well to our south…

The Canadian agrees…

Temps rebound quickly by the weekend as we watch a couple of potent plains storm systems work our way into the following week…

A clash of the seasons may set off some thunderstorms if that track verifies. Following that would come a much colder pattern.

If you’ve been reading of late, you’ve seen me posting about the GFS Ensembles going mild then turning cold for the end of February into the start of March. Well, the Euro Ensembles are sensing the same thing…

Seriously, if we get our winter packed into the month of March, I’m going to be one angry weatherdude. #teamspring 🙂

I will have an update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.