Updating The Winter Weather Potential

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a much better weather day taking shape across the region, but we are still tracking a shower chance. The big news is the return of winter weather for the rest of February and a big switch to mild and stormy for early March.

Temps today are deep into the 50s and may reach the low 60s in the south. That’s especially true if we can get a few rays of sunshine to show up.

Here are your tracking toys for any shower going up…

The fun part of the program begins Wednesday as low pressure works through the region, dragging a strong cold front across Kentucky. Temps crash behind this front with rain changing to a period of light snow during the evening. From there, a strong northwest wind touches off snow showers for central and eastern Kentucky through early Thursday. With temps in the 20s, light accumulations and slick spots on area roads will be possible.

A clipper then moves quickly in behind this for Thursday night into Friday. Light accumulations are a good bet with this.

Another, albeit weaker, clipper then moves in late Friday night into Saturday with more light snow. Once again, light accumulations will be possible for some.

Here’s how the GFS sees this…

The GFS is actually pretty aggressive with the upslope snow potential in the mountains of southeastern Kentucky. Here’s the snow map from that run through Saturday…

The Canadian is actually pretty similar looking…

As March arrives Sunday, temps take off and may spike into the 50s. By early next week, MUCH milder air is pushing in here and I wouldn’t be surprised to see temps make a run at 70 at some point. This mild air may help fire up some pretty good thunderstorms as a system approaches from the west. The heavy rain potential looks to return. Here’s the GFS rainfall forecast through next week…

Ugh!

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm then again on KWC this evening. Make it a good one and take care.


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11 Responses to Updating The Winter Weather Potential

  1. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Kind of funny how Mother Nature slaps us around and plays games isn’t it? I’ll still take a little snow, especially when I know it’s going to get more spring like on a few days. Anyway, we take what we get and make the best of it. At least it’s not rain! Have a good afternoon everyone.

  2. Jessica says:

    Bring on tornado tracking season!

  3. Illinois Mike says:

    It’s past 12:30 in the afternoon local time here, and still not one drop of rain or flake of snow in the Chicago area or in Plainfield/Romeville here in the SW suburbs.

    The radar shows all the main precipitation is well to the south and southwest of Chicago, with the northern edge of the precip about 20 miles away, and it’s mainly rain or a rain/snow mix.

    It’s currently right around 40 degrees, with a strong N/NE wind gusting to 30 MPH. The temp is going to have to drop several degrees in order for there to be any snow, but the forecast insists the snow will be in the area by 6 PM.

    The WWA is still out for the area tonight through tomorrow morning, with the prediction of 2 to 3 inches of snow by tomorrow afternoon. I’m highly skeptical! I wouldn’t be surprised if we got less than an inch!

  4. BubbaG says:

    This snow system is also known as a Norincher 🙂

  5. Jim B says:

    Have those snow accumulation models ever been close? Hahaha, kind of have no value in posting, except for conversation

  6. jackson says:

    I’m moving to Colorado in 2 years when I retire…it will be so nice to leave behind the hot miserable summers and the rainy winters behind.

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