Good Sunday everyone. We have a good old fashioned fall rain storm set to slam the bluegrass state over the next few days. This system is likely to put down a lot of water before it brings a big time blast of chilly temps to the state. The setup with this looks like something out of late fall or winter instead of the middle of September. It’s all part of a colder than normal pattern across much of the country for the rest of the month.
Today’s weather will feature a mix of sun and clouds and the chance for a shower or two. Southern and western Kentucky will have the highest chances of seeing the drops. Highs will generally run in the 70s.
Showers will begin to increase on Monday as moisture streams in ahead of low pressure developing across the deep south. This low will slowly lift northeastward toward the southern Appalachian Mountains as a strong cold front sweeps in from the west on Tuesday. Rain and thunderstorms will become widespread late Monday into Tuesday with the potential for high water producing rains for some.
Here’s a first call on RAINfall…
If anything, I may be too far east with the core of heaviest rains. The GFS certainly says I am…
That run actually shows a spot of 5″+ across south central Kentucky. One thing is for sure… this system looks wetter and wetter as we get closer to it moving through here. We will keep a close eye on the potential for high water.
Once the front passes late Tuesday, temps will become the main story. Readings Tuesday will drop from the 60s into the 50s by late afternoon and early evening. Skies will slowly clear out Tuesday night allowing for readings to tank. It’s as simple as this: If your skies clear out early Tuesday night, your temps will likely hit the upper 30s. If clouds hold tough, low 40s will be the rule. Record lows may be challenged in some cities.
Another strong system may approach the region by Friday and Saturday with another good shot of rain to be followed by a similar cold blast.
This is also the time of year when people start asking ” why are you the only one talking about (fill in the blank)?” . My reply: “Ask everyone else why they aren’t talking about it” . That’s how we roll!
Have a great Sunday and take care.