Good Tuesday, folks. A strong cold front is working into the region and bringing more showers and thunderstorms. This front also has cooler temps coming in behind it for the next several days, but that doesn’t mean we totally get rid of the rain chance. Scattered action hangs tough in the cooler air as we get ready for the next system later in the weekend.
Today’s showers and storms may be fairly widespread early on the more scattered late. Locally heavy rainfall may cause a few high water issues to develop.
Here are your storm tracking toys…
Highs today range from the mid 70s to low 80s as winds change direction during the afternoon and evening. That wind brings in the below normal temps and lower humidity levels for Wednesday and Thursday. Highs are mainly in the 70s during this time.
Even with the lower humidity, the weather looks unsettled with a few showers and storms going up. Here’s the rainfall forecast from the GFS for Wednesday-Friday…
Temps recover to normal summer levels this weekend as more in the way of showers and storms develop. This action looks common through the rest of the month into early July. The GFS Ensembles continue to show above normal rain over the next 2 weeks…
The overall pattern continues to not look hot as we keep pushing the warmest anomalies well to our north. That allows for troughing to develop under that into our region…
That’s a really hot pattern for the Lakes into the northeast and areas of Canada. It’s one that may also portend a busy hurricane season.
Enjoy the day and take care.
On this day in history four years ago was the horrific White Sulphur Springs, WV flash flood event.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_West_Virginia_flood
While tornadoes on average become less likely in our area during the warmer months, flash flooding can remain a major threat well into the summer. Areas near Johnson County KY experienced devastating flooding in July of 2015. A somber reminder to take NWS flood warnings seriously.
Fortunately, the Weather Prediction Center’s outlook for today has only a Marginal Threat of excessive rain thus flash flooding (TN, KY, OH, IN). Neither a high threat nor a zero risk, perhaps some widely isolated local issues.
Mark, In the Summer of 1979 in southern Indiana there was a flood that completely devastated the small town of English, Indiana. Later the state of Indiana decided to move the entire town to higher ground.
Chris are meteorologist factoring in the “cloud of dust” from the Sahara Desert into the future weather models ?