Good Thursday to everyone and a big hello to November. The eleventh month of the year is getting started off on a freezing note for much of the state with some of the coldest readings of fall, so far. Our overall weather pattern looks like it is locking into a northwesterly wind flow over the next week. What once looked like a decent mild up to start the weekend is wimping out before our very eyes.

There is even a little bit of energy diving in here later tonight. The NAM is spitting out a few showers and even some mountain flurries by Friday morning. That is a fast moving system that scoots quickly and leaves us with partly sunny skies and temps hitting the upper 40s and low 50s.

The next system rolling in this weekend looks to arrive on the scene by Saturday. Scattered showers look to break out from west to east by the afternoon…

 

That little system will be working with one heck of a temperature gradient. Check out the 30 degree temp swing across the state on Saturday…

NAM

GFS

The colder temps to the north will win the battle and settle southward through the weekend into early next week. The jet stream will continue to take a dip across the eastern half of the country as little disturbances drop in from the northwest. The GFS shows this well…

It’s not out of the question that one of those impulses turns into something a little bigger. As is, periodic clouds with chilly rain or snow showers would be possible late weekend and early next week.

I have to say this pattern is impressing me. When you get such an anomalous storm like we just had with Sandy, the pattern normally snaps back to normal or above this time of year. That just is not happening and could be a sure fire sign old man winter isn’t playing around this year.

Are we done with mild temps? No. I’m watching the end of next week into the following weekend for a massive plains storm to crank up. This could put warm us up for a few days and even throw a strong storm potential our way. Many of the models are honing in on this…

GFS 

 There is a ton of cold air across Canada that is just waiting for something to unleash it into the lower 48. Things may very well turn wintry after that storm blows through. Not that we haven’t seen wintry already. 😉

Have a great Thursday and take care.