Watching The Turkey Week Weather

Good Wednesday everyone. Our colder than normal weather pattern rolls on across the bluegrass state and that trend should carry us through the upcoming weekend. Things are fairly quiet now, but I’m keeping a close eye on a more active pattern taking shape as we get into Thanksgiving Week.

Today’s weather will feature a frigid start with temps warming into the mid and upper 40s during the afternoon. Thursday looks similar, but we should see more in the way of some clouds…especially in the south and east.

Low 50s for highs look good from Friday through the weekend with a mix of sun and clouds. I can’t rule out a sprinkle or light showers as the upstairs pattern begins to crank up a bit.

The models are all keying on a storm across the east next week, but offer up the usual differences from a week away. The European Model has the most extreme solution as it has a ton of blocking leading to a much more phased solution in the east… 

 That’s a heck of a deep trough over us and here’s how the same model run plays out at the surface…

Notice how the storm backs westward as the trough deepens across our region. That’s a similar setup to what happened with sandy… except this time there is no hurricane. Again, that’s pretty extreme.

The Canadian Model has shown similar solutions over the past few days. The latest run of the model does not get the big phase going…

This complicated scenario will take several days to iron itself out and we have plenty of time to see what impact it may have on our weather.

I continue to like where the pattern is going the week after Thanksgiving into early December.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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7 Responses to Watching The Turkey Week Weather

  1. Jenn says:

    Thanks Chris for all you do!!

  2. Pamela Harris says:

    Is there anyone that can explain what the various colors mean? I’m not a meterologist.

    • Jenn says:

      Pam i believe in the precipitaion maps the darker reds mean heavier precipitaion and the lighter blues means light precip. now on the temperature charts the closer to the color red means warm and the blue means cooler. hope that helps

  3. Ready4Snow says:

    Getting about that time of year when the GFS starts throwing some fantasy storms out in the long range for us weather weenies…Maybe a few of them will not be fantasy…Definitely a better looking pattern going forward than last winter..NAO looks like it will be negative going into December,.Plenty of snow cover in the right places,,Some decent Blocking showing up in the long range..,Me thinks mother nature will give us a few good surprises this winter ..

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