Good Saturday to all my fellow weather lovers. Our weekend is off and running on a very nice weather note across the commonwealth of Kentucky. This nice trend will carry us through the start of Thanksgiving week. It’s the end of the holiday week that’s getting more and more of my attention as the cold pattern we’ve been advertising tries to crash our Black Friday party.

Let’s start it off with what’s going on in the short term. Temps today through Monday will run in the 50s with a 60 possible across the west and south. Skies will be partly sunny.

A weak system rolls our way by Tuesday and Wednesday with a scattered shower threat. Temps may come down a few degrees because of the increase in clouds and any shower action that forms. Thanksgiving Day continues to look mild with temps around 60 and a fair amount of sunshine.

The weather for the rest of the Thanksgiving weekend continues to look colder and colder on many of the models. They are now bringing a pretty stout cold front in here on Black Friday and that looks like a warning shot to the pattern we’ve been talking about developing for the final week of November into early December.

Check out how the GFS plays this first front…

The numbers from the model suggest temps fall into the 30s by late Friday afternoon then struggle to get to 40 on Saturday. The Canadian Model looks very similar…

That model run is actually a little colder than the GFS and produces some flurries and snow showers behind the front on Saturday. I’m not overly excited about the flake threat with this front as I see it more of an appetizer to a much more wintry pattern that follows.

The GFS doesn’t take too long in going toward that wintry pattern. Here’s what it shows by the middle of the week after Thanksgiving…

That particular run of the GFS then goes toward a mega block as we head into week one of December. Check out how the NAO is forecast to literally fall off the charts…

That would be one amazing block if it comes to pass and would likely give us some wild weather. As usual, let’s see how it all plays out.

To show you my excitement level about the upcoming pattern… you will get another update from me later today. Have a great Saturday and take care.