Tuesday Evening Update

Good Tuesday evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the changing pattern that is threatening to get winter off and running next week. Let’s do it all with the headlines.

– Temps in the upper 50s and low 60s will be with us Wednesday and Thursday with a mix of sun and clouds.

– A strong cold front moves in on Black Friday with a gusty band of showers. Temps will start in the 50s before falling into the upper 30s during the evening.

– Cold air will continue to filter in behind this front with highs only in the 30s on Saturday. A few snow flurries will be possible during this time.

– A stronger push of cold air will flow southward into the plains states by Monday. This will spawn a storm system to our southwest. The models diverge on the exact track of this storm with some taking the low right on top of us and a few just to our south. The latest GFS run kind of splits the difference:

– Climatology tells us we should see a stronger low tracking right over us by Tuesday as it cuts toward the eastern Great Lakes. That would give us a rain to snow situation. Again… that’s a week from now so take anything with a grain of salt.

– The long range pattern continues to feature some serious blocking. The European Model is going crazy with the negative NAO by the end of next week…

– The blocking showing up for December can lead to some extreme weather across the eastern half of the country. This looks fun!

Your next update includes a long-standing blog tradition. Who knows what it is? Enjoy your evening and take care.

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11 Responses to Tuesday Evening Update

  1. Coffeady says:

    Thanks, Chris! Can’t wait for the overnight update!

  2. BlizzardTIm says:

    drum roll please….PLANES ….TRAINS….AND AUTOMOBILES!!!!….lol…

  3. Shawon says:

    Figure we’ll see the late great John Candy with tonight’s update.

  4. Seth says:

    The upcoming storm will most likely be a lakes cutter. Rain and thunderstorms will occur Monday through Tuesday afternoon. Then Tuesday evening cold air will wrap in behind the low and change over any leftover moisture to some sleet pellets/snow flurries.

  5. 3789N8434W says:

    let’s hear it for a couple of rounds of DYNAMIC COOLING!!!

  6. WXman says:

    GFS wasn’t getting any support from CMC or ECMWF with the over-running precip. idea for next week as of this morning…but like Chris said things can change. Regardless, there is some brutal cold in the Yukon already and it may try to spill southward going toward December. December 2010 was the coldest on record…could this December give it a run?

  7. JJTeach says:

    Love me some planes, trains and automobiles!!!

  8. Marie says:

    “You know, officer, I know she ain’t much to look at, but I do feel that she’s road worthy.”

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