A Cold Change Blowing In

Good Friday to one and all. This is no ordinary Friday, it’s Black Friday and that means millions of people flood the malls and local businesses looking for those early bird savings. While the businesses are slashing prices, I’m slashing temps on this big day.

A stout cold front pushes across the state early today. This boundary will have a gusty band of showers along and ahead of it. The good news is the rain won’t last very long as things dry out this afternoon from west to east. That’s when the cold air takes over and carries us through the weekend.

Temps start today in the 50s then fall through the 40s and into the upper 30s by sundown. The drop continues during the evening with upper 20s by midnight as readings head toward the low and mid 20s by Saturday morning. Thermometers will only rebound into the upper 30s for highs Saturday afternoon as winds make it feel even colder. A couple of snow flurries will be possible with the greatest chance in the north and east.

After another chilly day on Sunday, our attention turns toward a developing storm system moving our way early next week. A cold rain will overspread the region late Monday as the low gathers steam to our southwest. This low should track right on top of us Tuesday morning and then off to our northeast by the evening. The track map I put out a few days ago looks pretty good right now.

This scenario continues to look like a rain to snow situation Tuesday afternoon and evening. We now have the GFS on board with this transition:

The model still isn’t handling everything properly, but then again, no model is right now. The Canadian continues to be the most wound up with the storm and offers a heavier burst of some snow Tuesday night and Wednesday morning…

 The NOGAPS is similar to the Canadian with a stronger system than the GFS shows. There is something that has me scratching my head and that’s the European Model. This model has been showing a sheared out system scooting to our south. The new run has all but lost this storm and it’s rare you see the European this out of step.

I will try to update again later today. Have a great Friday and take care.

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7 Responses to A Cold Change Blowing In

  1. rolo says:

    good mooorrrrring KY!!

  2. Tom in Rockcastle says:

    Hello all, Chris, I would like to see some snow, but the truth is these rain to snow adventures seem to never workout for my area, but here is to hope.

  3. patty says:

    I hope you all had an amazing Thanksgiving ! Now we need a snow to get us into the Christmas spirit!

  4. jeanette says:

    So sad. It was exciting there for a few days when mets were talking about drastic cold and something exciting happening around the first week of December. Now everyone has backed off. 🙁

    Ah well, I still hold out hope my prayers will be answered for some birthday snow 😉 … what is impossible for man is possible with God. 😀

    • bjenks says:

      Have seen a few other mets around this region calling for snow to move through KY….Not off the board yet. Positive PNA tends to hold storms futher south and west. Will wait and see.

  5. Danny says:

    Well the latest run of the GFS 12z just did an about face and brought the accumulating snow much further south across southern Indiana and Ohio interesting run of the 12z GFS.

  6. Derek says:

    00z GFS looks pretty boring to me. No snow for much of KY in the coming week. What is all the fuss about?

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