Friday Morning Thoughts

Good Morning everyone. With the pattern change toward winter beginning in the coming days, your friendly weatherdude is going to step up the amount of posts you guys get on a given day. We are getting close to Christmas and the holidays, so I will also be having a little more fun with some of the posts.

This means some of the overnight posts won’t be as long and detailed since you will be getting more info throughout the day. That starts now and may also have something to do with me needing to get to bed a littler earlier. :)

Your breakdown:

- Rounds of showers and thunder will roll across the state today. The rain will be more concentrated across the north and west. Heavy downpours will be likely.

- A cold front stalls out around here this weekend with waves of low pressure working along it. Additional showers and isolated thunderstorms will be likely through Sunday Night. Some areas will pick up 1″-2″ of rain this weekend.

- A strong cold front moves in on Monday and will cause our temps to tank from west to east. The models are now picking up on a few waves of low pressure developing along this front. Each model handles the waves differently and that’s something they will work out this weekend. The GFS Ensembles Mean is picking up on this:

- That would up the chance for a period of light snow later Monday into Tuesday. If those waves aren’t real… then we go from rain to snow showers and flurries right behind the front before ending.

- Regardless… it’s going to get cold from later Monday through Wednesday as our temps go well below normal as a deep trough digs in…

- Watch how the blocking across eastern Canada and Greenland really kicks in next weekend…

- That pattern will force the storm track to our south and set up some interesting times leading up to Christmas.

So much for me keeping this one short. Oh well… I do what I do. haha

Have a great Friday and take care.


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10 Responses to Friday Morning Thoughts

  1. rolo says:

    tx Bailey, I as well like whaT we are seeing as far as the blocking goes. could indeed be a WILD last half of DECEMMMMBBBBBEEEERRRRR

  2. Dawnp007 says:

    Could you enlighten me???? Lol. Do not understand maps!

  3. BubbaG says:

    It basically means a good set up for moisture to join up with the cold air for frozen stuff.

  4. sach says:

    Chris as far as the weekend on the 14th-16th what is in store we have a our live Nativity theat weekend? Thanks

  5. Andy Rose says:

    Is the winter weather we are suppose to be getting gonna be any more than the cold weather and rain we have already had this yr?

  6. bjenks says:

    Not sure which Jap Model it was, but I did see it on two different occasions. Once in June/July timeframe and once in Nov. It has our entire region in below normal temps, and in some cases 6 – 13 degrees below normal. Also, this same model called for North America to have a mild winter last year. Unlike all the others that were pointing towards cold and snowy.
    Dec. will give us cold rains and a little snow. The cold we are looking for will happen in Jan/Feb, if so lets hope they are wet months.

  7. Jeff Hamlin says:

    The way I see it, we had very little of winter last time, so it can only be colder and at least a little snowier this time around. I think we should see some fun this time around. But if you ask some folks in eastern KY, they had a big snow already! :)

  8. Cameron Fry says:

    Question: Is anyone seeing how this isn’t going to be a cold air chasing precip scenario? That’s what I’m slightly worried about with this system…

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