Good Saturday everyone. Our wet weekend rolls on across the commonwealth of Kentucky and this damp weather is something we have to go through to get to winter. Almost all of the years I looked that started December on a warm note had to get wet before they got cold and white. That concept looks to be doing its thing right now.

Occasional showers and some thunderstorms will continue to roll across the state today into Sunday. Heavy downpours will be a good bet. Some areas have picked up close to 2″ of rain and many may get another inch or two before all is said and done.

Back around Thanksgiving, I targeted December 7th-14th as the time frame we started to make the transition into winter. That transition is underway now with the rain and now we await the change too much colder temps and that comes on Monday. Take a look at how temps drop some 30 degrees in a few hours…

Readings will basically drop from 60 degrees at midnight to the 30s by Monday afternoon. Winds are going to crank up during this temp tank.

The cold front will have a wave of low pressure along it as it works eastward. The back edge of the precipitation shield will likely end as a period of light snow for some. The GFS shows the quick transition…

The NAM is evening spitting out some light accumulation across eastern Kentucky. I just don’t see this system producing much in the way of accumulating flakes around here. Stranger things have happened, I suppose.

Again… this week looks to do exactly what we said it would do… be the transition period into winter. That said, there have been several model runs of late that cook up a big storm next weekend. The Canadian is doing just that…

We will have to wait and see about that one. I don’t trust any model with properly handling a piece of energy ejecting out of the southwest. Hence the wild swings many of them are displaying right now.

More updates come your way later today. Make it wonderful Saturday and take care.