Good Wednesday evening to one and all. We have another cold night ahead of us as temps drop into the low and mid 20s. That will be followed up by sunny skies and 40s for Thursday. Wait… you guys don’t want to talk about the next few days? Nah… neither do I.

All eyes continue to be focused on the wintry potential for next week. As usual, the steady hand of the European Model is leading the charge with how things play out. It was the first to pick up on next weeks potential and the last two runs of the model look nearly identical. Check out the latest run…

It shows a series of lows this weekend into Monday with the main storm working just to our south before cranking up across the Carolinas by Tuesday night and Wednesday. That’s usually a good track for wintry weather around here. Now, watch this storm blow up and slow down along the east coast…

That’s an extreme setup as the storm cuts off. That’s also a solution that the pattern says is likely to happen. You simply cannot get that much blocking across eastern Canada and Greenland without a storm cutting off. Those maps bring some very cold air and frequent snow squalls and showers our way after any possible storm impact.

So… will that storm really impact Kentucky? I cannot tell you that at this point, but we are in the game. The upper levels are filled with disturbances this weekend into early next week and the models have a whole lot on their plate with figuring out which one of these disturbances actually produce storms.

You often hear me talk about how some models are superior to others. The European Model is in a class of its own in terms of pure power and resolution. It also leaves other models in the dust with verification scores. That does not mean it can’t be wrong or have a couple of bad runs. That’s certainly a possibility here and only time will tell.

I leave you with another obscure Christmas video classic…

Have a great evening and take care.