Blizzard Watch Western Kentucky

Good early Christmas Eve. A BLIZZARD WATCH has been issued for parts of western Kentucky. Here’s a look at the counties included…

WarningsThe latest run of the NAM continues to trend eastward with the track of our low and puts much more of the state in play for heavy snow. I don’t think the NWS offices in Paducah, Louisville or Wilmington are far enough east with the watches.

Winds with this storm will gust to 40mph or better at times.

More updates to come this evening. Merry Christmas everyone!


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94 Responses to Blizzard Watch Western Kentucky

  1. Joey Wilson says:

    Hope you’re right, Chris, about the warning areas not being far enough east. Seems kinda silly to see a Blizzard Watch in one county and then no watch, advisory or warning in an adjacent county. Would think the Blizzard Watch areas would at least have a WSWatch next county. Regardless, the next 36 hours are gonna be FUN!

  2. Gayle smith says:

    How much snow for central ky?

  3. Krista says:

    So close…. Again. (sigh.)

  4. Tom in Kentucky says:

    Fools gold, this this system will only produce snow for the areas to the extreme north west side, the core of the system is to warm to support a wide spread event.

  5. Danny says:

    The reason on why the NWS out of Louisville prolly did not issue a watch is the 18z nam came out after there evening forecast discussion if the evening models continue the eastward trend look for watches in the Louisville area the new nam has 3-6 inches for the Louisville metro.

  6. Marsha says:

    I guess eastern ky don’t have a chance…

  7. Seth says:

    18z gfs is further southeast still.

    • james says:

      Seth, I hope your correct, but to me, it looked like it took the same track as the 12z. It just went by us a few hours sooner, which would transistion to snow sooner. I may be incorrect.

    • Danny says:

      Yes it is the Ohio river county’s are going to get a monster snow

  8. bjenks says:

    Chris Baily thanks for the update and Merry Christmas to you and all of the blog family. Trends show that two updates in two hours means good things. I will wait up for Santa tonight have couple shots of Wild Turkey and have him pull that low futher east.

    Have a great evening everyone. THINK POSITIVE and THINK SNOW!!!

  9. Josh says:

    Lexington is about as far East that has a legitimate shot at significant snowfall.

  10. Kat says:

    I’m on the Ohio River in Harrison county Indiana and it doesn’t seem they are saying we are going to get much

  11. Local met on WEHT just said he expects blizzard conditions to stay in Indiana and that the counties without advisories may see no snow at all. Will those who are native to Owensboro tell me if that sounds reasonable to you all.

    • Joey Wilson says:

      I saw that, Lisa, and think Heckard is downplaying storm east of Evansville too much. GFS and NAM have trended more our way and Paducah NWS showing 3+ inches for Owensboro and to the southwest. Wayne Hart is the best met on Evansville TV hands down.

    • Danny says:

      No not reasonable at all the track has been shifting all day Owensboro will get a healthy dose of snow Louisville will get a healthy dose as long as the track keeps on shifting east all county’s along the river will get a measurable snow

    • Joey Wilson says:

      Heckard would have been better off highlighting the potential for heavy snow and high winds throughout their viewing area (Evansville area). He focused too much on southern Illinois. He might eventually be right about that, but the Blizzard Watch covers several counties in southern IN and some in WKY too. This event could still cover the entire area. I’ve NEVER seen a Blizzard Watch for this area. He apparently doesn’t realize how unprecedented that is.

  12. Damaged Goods says:

    Replying from the heart of Louisville. I’ve been lurking in the shadows of this blog for the last couple of years, but this is my first post. Perhaps, it has something to do with Louisville possibly picking up on the best snow we’ve gotten in a couple of years? I’ll let you decide ;)

    Locally, WHAS and WAVE aren’t even including accumulation totals in their forecast because they’re still too uncertain. As close as we are to the “Watch” areas, and with the way the models have been trending, I would expect Louisville to be included in the “Watch” soon. I just caught Brian Goode’s (WAVE 3) forecast on TV, he reaffirmed that they’re too uncertain, talked about the current trend of the models and even said, “In a bit, I’ll show you a couple of the models that have snow amounts for us that might surprise you a little!” I’ve been trying very hard to not get excited over this… history repeats itself… but it’s getting close enough that I can start to feel myself slipping… ;)

  13. BubbaG says:

    Not to be a downer for our western friends, but it is a watch and not a warning. Big difference. On the plus side for central Kentucky is we have low expectations :)

    • bjenks says:

      Merry Xmas BubbaG…..How excited would you be if a blizzard watch was posted for Central KY……Pretty excited I bet….

      • BubbaG says:

        Merry Christmas!

        Nope. Simply because since not one big snow has panned out for central Kentucky since 98 from one of these southern fed systems, why would this be any different? ;)

  14. Keith says:

    Does the weekend hold any Snow Love for Eastern KY, say Floyd or Pike Co’s, or are we gonna be in a rainstorm again??

  15. Pierce says:

    NAM has shifted heaviest snowfall axis southeast by 140 miles in 2 runs. St.Louis to Paducah. Still, I don’t expect to see snowfall here in cky.

  16. Muddy says:

    I am starting to think this sucker may end up being a statewide event !

  17. Dee says:

    is Louisville still looking at 2-4″?

  18. Todd says:

    Why is when the models trend in favor for more snow in ky the NWS never budges but at the first sign of a more north or west trend the are all over it and taking it as the gospel, just asking??

  19. Kat says:

    Can someone explain Mr. Baileys latest tweet about the 18z run of the GFS to me, please and thank you.

  20. Faye says:

    In Paducah, visiting the family for the holidays. Looks like it was a good move to get out of Jessamine County for this snow chance. Only problem is that I need to travel about 45 miles to visit more family on Christmas night and I’m worried about travel conditions. It may be snow, heavy snow, blizzard, or nothing…

  21. Robbie says:

    The 18Z GFS may have been colder and trended to more towards the east, but the snowfall map didn’t seem to move much at all. It still shows not much of anything for Louisville. Maybe I’m looking at the wrong map, though.

  22. rolo says:

    hey CRYSTAL, the SPIRITS ARE FLOWING!!! WOOOOOOOOO

    sorry 97 percent ky aint getting no snow unless a SUPRISE INTERVENTION FROM GOD happens, but it aint going keep ole ROLO from have a great time now thru NEW YEARS!!

    follow me !seekingthegold on twitter for HORSE PLAY winners, 4 for 4 last 4 GULFSTREAM plays!!!

  23. Earl says:

    If ur lookin at earls wxcaster. The new gfs isn’t on there

  24. Micah says:

    Doesn’t the 00Z NAM come out soon?

    • Ryan K says:

      Believe 00z runs should start coming out in about an hour. Here’s hoping for some snow, even a couple inches in Louisville. Been out of town anytime we’ve seen anything the last 5-6 years.

  25. MarkLex says:

    When we had the 20 inches in Lex from the Feb 98 storm, I remember staying up really late, like until 5 am, and it looked like a blizzard. I remember it being very windy while the snow was falling because the snow was drifting over the backyard fence and completely up to the satellite dish. I had only lived here less than two years and I remember that being the wildest thing I had seen since the superstorm 93 when I was still living back in the Asheville NC area. That 98 storm totally compared to the 93 superstorm for me. I was right in the middle of that in Western NC……. Though I don’t remember blizzard warnings for the superstorm 93 OR the Feb 98 storm. To me, they both looked like blizzards. You couldn’t see anything.

  26. Fred says:

    Its funny, did anyone see how bill meck on 18 seems to think its not much to this storm, but is it just me or is Chris acting like the storm will hit eastern ky like Winchester pretty heavy????

    • Andy Rose says:

      to my knowledge chris hasnt said anything about eaatern ky

      • Fred says:

        He said looks like heavy snow for most of the state, well I take that as more than what bill said

        • Andy Rose says:

          he just said More not most i wish it was us but don’t think anybody south of Lex is getting heavy snow to amount to anything we tend to ignore bill round these parts ;)

          • BubbaG says:

            I though he typed much. “More” is even MORE subjective, so watch out for a little girl holding a football ;)

            This is kind of like a Seinfeld episode. A lot about nothing :)

        • BubbaG says:

          I think he said MUCH of the state, which is a VERY subjective term. MOST is objective, since implies a majority.

          For perspective, the system has had to shift as much as it already did just to give Louisville a chance. Seems most of central Kentucky will be on the border for getting a little snow, so seems the further SE you go… not much.

  27. Todd says:

    Is blizzard warnings more about the wind than the snow totals, seems like I’ve seen blizzard warnings up north for just a few inches of snow combined with winds of over 35mph!

    • Lincoln says:

      Officially, the National Weather Service defines a blizzard as large amounts of falling OR blowing snow with winds in excess of 35 mph and visibilities of less than 1/4 of a mile for an extended period of time (greater than 3 hours).Found this off a website lol

      • SUSAN says:

        It also depends on where, state and county. Each area has their own criteria. I live close to a county line, and I can be in a warning if I step down the road, or a watch if I stay home, but the forecast for both areas are the exact same. Rural, urban, hills, flat, all make a big difference in the criteria.

  28. Endleswavz says:

    Correct… my family went to Chicago this past weekend… we drove through blizzard warning conditions and all told, Central and Eastern Kentucky came out of the same system with more accumulation… We had a dusting to 1/2″ of snow in the Chicagoland area.

  29. Emerson Biggins says:

    STAY POSITIVE, THINK SNOW

  30. Lincoln says:

    Merry Christmas people of the blog, regardless of what happens or doesn’t happen we all need to move to Minnesota.

  31. Lincoln says:

    The NAM appears to place low in the SE corner of Kentucky, although I am viewing this on my smartphone and it is difficult to tell!

    • BubbaG says:

      That would mean mainly cold rain for SE Kentucky and point NW of there would have more of a chance for “more” snow. Everything is relative. Example: 1.5″ is MORE than 1″.

  32. Tominlou says:

    From Brian Goode Wave3 here in Louisville:

    “LATEST NAM— pretty big jog east…and colder. More of a snow threat again for southern IN and into Louisville. Still analyzing the data …more to come.”

    NAM map is posted on his Facebook page

  33. james says:

    Nam shifts SE! Let’s see what the GFS does. Here’s hopeing!

    • BubbaG says:

      Please keep in mind where the low is where most of the cold rain is as well. The shifts currently taking place correlates with Louisville getting in on the action. Would take a megachunga shift pretty much out of the state to get “most” of the state in play. That is as likely as Rolo winning Pulitzer ;) :)

      • robertw says:

        didnt chris say one model showed the low only hitting n tenn before turning erast. Would that do it for central Ky?

        • BubbaG says:

          Yep. Perhaps that would get us in the 4″ area and also some luv for some areas SE of here. Who really knows? Considering the mets STILL do not know, I will not bother with a charade that I do either ;)

  34. blue says:

    Still only a dusting for Hodgenville ):

  35. Emerson Biggins says:

    THINK SNOW, STAY POSITIVE

  36. MattD says:

    The heaviest snow will be on the Northwest side of the Low. If the Low can shift enough south east, the 9-12 inches currently expected as near as Jasper could easily shift as far south as Hardin County. If the trends continue, then I believe much of the state will get snow cover and some other areas nearer to Louisville will get very significant snow.

  37. Russ says:

    You guys enjoy your snow, us eastern Kentuckians will enjoy that lovely cold rain.

  38. sue(flatwoods,ky) says:

    will we get anything here in the Ashland/Flatwoods area or just old yucky rain!!!!! : (

  39. Mike S says:

    00z NAM keeps track, perhaps a smidge south and east.
    While this still means several inches of snow for many more than yesterday’s runs, it’s time to start looking at temperature profiles at the surface and several thousand feet above the surface for the next few runs. Ice/sleet threat is increasing along with the heavy snow threat. Could get nasty…

  40. Robbie says:

    Maybe I’m missing something, but the 0Z NAM seems to make every effort to avoid Louisville and Jefferson county while dumping heavy snow to the west and north and lighter amounts to the east.

    • Dee says:

      I was thinking the same thing…what’s up with that?

      • Robbie says:

        Considering how much further to the south the NAM is with the Low in eastern KY, you would think Jefferson Country would see more snow. But in fact, it has significantly less snow than the 18Z run which was farther to the west.

  41. feederband says:

    Going with the Euro. It has been consistent. Got a smoker for Christmas and will smoke some ribs for New Years with black eyed peas and cabbage.

  42. upslope says:

    Jackson KY NWS latest HWO: growing potential for light snow accumulations in eastern Kentucky Wednesday night through Thursday..spotter activation may be needed for snow reports

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