Winter Storm Tracker

Good Wednesday and welcome to another wild weather day across the bluegrass state. We have a rare blizzard hitting parts of our region today as a powerhouse storm rolls across the Tennessee Valley. While the west sees the blizzard, the rest of the state sees everything from a nasty mix to heavy rains before snow.

Some brief thoughts on the current storm:

- Western Kentucky continues to be the bullseye with 40mph winds and the potential for 6″-12″ of snow. Blizzard conditions will be noted.

- Northern areas of the state will be the next area to keep an eye on. The heavy snow line is going to be floating around the Covington area. It will be interesting to watch that Covington to Louisville corridor to see just how close the heaviest snow gets.

- A cold rain will fall across much of central and eastern Kentucky into the afternoon hours. Rain will change to snow from west to east late today and accumulations through Tonight will range from coatings to up to 3″ for some. I do expect a moderate band of snow to set up somewhere across this region.

- Winds today into tonight will gust to 40mph.

I have some traffic cams from the highest impact areas:

I-24 MP 4 @ US 60
Paducah
I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I-71/I-75 at I-275
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ I-275

While we are tracking this storm, it’s time to focus on the next one that arrives by Friday evening into Saturday. This one may very well force us back into THREAT mode by later today or tonight. This is not a strong storm like the one we are seeing right now. Instead, this will be a west to east moving storm across the south that then turns the corner up the east coast. Here’s a sample of some of the latest models…

GFS GFS 2

The next one is lined up behind that one and may impact our weather as we usher in the new year. I will have updates as needed today. Make it a great one and take care.


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84 Responses to Winter Storm Tracker

  1. BubbaG says:

    Well, in north Madison at the moment it is 33 degrees, so as cold a rain you can usually get. Better than ice though :)

  2. huddles says:

    same here in southern Madison County (Berea) Bubba.

  3. KeavyMan says:

    36 here in Keavy, Ky, located in Southern laurel County. Very cold rain falling and a little breezy. Showing a windchill of 30 so there might be something frozen in it too. I don.t see it though. Anyways, hope everyone had a great Christmas and hopefully WE ALL become responsible this week and make it safely into 2013!

    THINK SNOW!!!!

  4. Go Cards says:

    Got a mix of sleet and rain in Louisville. It is nasty out.

  5. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    Always hoping for an over performing backside low.

  6. Woodsman says:

    Seems like I’m always in the bullseye here in North/East Wv. There’s currently 8″ of snow on the ground from our lake effect round. It’s looking like freezing rain and 6-10″ of snow from this round.

  7. Faye says:

    Still visiting with the family here in Paducah. The NWS said the rain would change over around midnight and it happened almost right to the minute. An hour later the ground and streets are white although I think at this time it’s more from heavy sleet than snow.

  8. Mike S says:

    Louisville and Jackson NWS offices collaborate and issue a WWAdvisory for Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, Jackson, Morehead, Pikeville, Hazard, West Liberty.

    Farther west start time 2pm
    Farther east start time 6pm

  9. Joey Wilson says:

    Rain turned to snow here in Owensboro at 3:30am CST. Now coming down at a steady rate. Hoping for at least 4″. Radar returns look good to our south and west.

  10. rolo says:

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!! WAKE UP AMERICA!! its 5am got BILL BRYANY and KARI HALL

    that said nothing see here, weekend coating to inch or so.

    MIRACLE we need a MIRACLE to ever get a GOOD SNOW.

  11. bjenks says:

    Just woke up to see my wife and daughter off to Atlanta….Ask my wife if it was snownig and heard a clap of thunder. Answered that question….I did however go out to the back deck and low and behold it was covered with a thin layer of ICE. Heavy Rain, Sleet and thunder.
    We have THUNDER SLEET in Lou. I think I going to ride west out 64 just to see how many miles the snow is from Lou.

  12. Go Cards says:

    Rain and sleet with a little thunder and lightning.

  13. bjenks says:

    Nice sleet coming down here in Lou. Just wish it would change all the way over. Seems this moisture field on RADAR is pushing due north with no east movement.

  14. Amandanlouisville says:

    pouring sleet and freezing rain here in western most part of Jefferson county

  15. Crystal In Pikeville says:

    Good Morning,looking at Radar looks like my sis near Indy in Greenwood is getting hammered,I should have went up so I could see a Big Snow.

  16. KellyinLouisville says:

    At 6:30 here in The Highlands neighborhood of Louisville it’s 34 degrees with heavy rain and an occasional rumble of thunder. Every now and then we get some sleet mixed in but it quickly ends.

  17. Chris Mercer says:

    Temp is rising here in Lawrenceburg, KY. Was 34.3 at 0600 and is now 36.0 at 0700.

  18. Coffeady says:

    Rain and cold in southern Ky this morning. Temp is 39

  19. bjenks says:

    “That low will put the brakes on and take a hard right toward West Virginia. EXACTLY how far north and west that low is when it takes the turn will be the key on who gets what”

    This was a radom thought by CB on Sunday Dec 23 evening post.

    Here in Louisville I would love to see this move due east about right NOW! It seems to be wanting to change over?

  20. rolo says:

    You in the ville would get HAMMERED ifd it just tilted a tad east. I hope iotr does ole friend.

    gotta GO back to last week agfIN, looking at this storm its a perfect storm to look at, but BAILEY said NO WAY it get thisw far north because of blocking, I have ask fort a week what HAPPEN TO THAT BLOCKING but nobody seems to want to answer the ????.

    cause if it had been in place that BLOCKING then low would as forcasted a week ago move thru lower tenn vally into carolinas and well the whole state of KY, CEN/EASTERN would got a good one.

    so I will ask again Chris, what happen to the BLOCKING that was to keep storm from getting this far north??????

    • bjenks says:

      ROLO….I believe it was the NAO going Positive thus the Greenland Blocking fades……If the NAO would have stayed Neg. then this Low would have done as you stated.
      Baily has called this one from the get go….Always had the upper half of KY in a moderate zone….He Is the Man…That is why we come here on daily basis….
      NWS extended the WWA for Louisville from 7am to 7pm…1-3 inches…Lexington from 2-8 with lesser amounts.
      OH what COULD have been. Still have plenty of winter left.

      • ben c says:

        How is CB the man? He got everyone in Lexington’s hopes up a week ago that we would get a big snow this time and is now doing the same thing for the weekend and there after. Only a month and a half of meteorological winter left and bitten again. GO STEELERS!!!!!!!

  21. rolo says:

    and another thing, WKYT doesnt cover whole state, looking at in motion RADAR loop it obvious most aint going get no winter weather,

    why is it a SEVERE WEATHER DAY again, I mean there WQEATHER that makes it suck to be out in, now other day it snowed 3 inches in several places, but it wasnt SEVERE, now once again SWD issued and to alot that just drop in everynow then or turn on TV will think ole lord its going get bad. when it couldnt be farther from the truth.

    I think these are question that need to be disussed. it riding the ohio river as u watch radar loop if ur getting snow now ur going get a good one. alor of CENTRAL and S KY going be drizzle at best as they are in the dry salot of the wrapped up low.

    ohh I LOVE ALL U ALL, this is big part of my life being able to talk with my weather friends etc. hey sometimes after a rough day gambling it can sooth the soul a bit having these discussions.

    • Andy Rose says:

      This is not a WKYT blog so don’t expect to many answers from anybody here unless Chris posts which is very very rare. Would be better suited to shoot Chris an email.

    • Dara says:

      I’m thinking with there being a great number of people traveling, they are basically trying to get people to use caution in the event of snow creating problems while driving…some of their viewing area is supposed to be affected by the snow forecasted :)

  22. Virgil Edwards says:

    Good Ole Rain…. Good Ole Rain… nice to see you again.. Long Live the Snow Dome!! Muahhahahahaha..

  23. bjenks says:

    BubbaG wake up! Lex. area is under WWA from 2pm – 8pm……LOL…

    • BubbaG says:

      Winter weather advisory, or warm air aloft? ;)

      What ever fate this system has, copy & paste for the weekend. Regardless of flow, warm air is the decider.

      CB’s forecast was reasonable, but the historic trend is the devil’s advocate here. Kentucky and mainly central should get a T-shirt saying: He Hate Me. He being southern fed systems.

      • Bernard P. Fife says:

        Not i’m a big fan of channel 36 weather, but I caught their weekend forecast, & I think they nailed it…nothing to get excited about.

  24. Mike S says:

    WWAdvisory now in effect for Louisville. Start time adjusted. Quicker transition to snow. Even had snow here in SW Louisville.

  25. Joey Wilson says:

    Light snow now in Owensboro but we have maybe a 1/2 inch on the ground and radar not friendly at this point :( Seven inches plus reported barely 50 miles to my west in Evansville IN area. There was a very sharp cutoff and my back yard got CUT OFF. Ugh.

    Wouldn’t be surprised to see the Friday-Saturday event give me more snow than this “blizzard” did.

  26. rolo says:

    heavy snow is north of the VILLE and all KY asnd will stay there as it moves N EAST light snow in western KY, so BLIZZARD WARNING for those areas WAS A BUST in KY.

  27. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Just visited the weather.gov site & the map they have on the front page…had a great graphic of the winter advisories & such with a great big snow dome in the middle of kentucky. Not excited about the weekend possibilities for the lake cumberland area either!

  28. Vinny says:

    Cold Rain 34°… In NW Lexington…
    Dry slotting is welcome on days like this..!

    GO STEELERS..!

  29. Chris Mercer says:

    37 degrees in balmy Lawrenceburg, KY. Just talked to my folks in Madisonville who were told it was going to be a “snowpocalypse” and they have maybe one inch and have been downgraded from a Blizzard Warning to a Winter Weather Advisory. Glad I wasn’t in the game to begin with–those snowlovers much be really dissapointed.

    Whichever model had the snow furthest North and West wins this round. I’m not sure which one it was, someone else will have to enlighten me.

  30. Russ says:

    Just as I said yesterday, this was Indiana’s storm. Good day to be in central Indiana and maybe down towards Bloomington. Not much in store for the Ville or even for west KY. The guys on the WAVE 3 blog are already lowering totals. So bring on the next overhyped, gray rainmaker this Friday

  31. BubbaG says:

    Dang. I stick with the outlook that this winter will be an average of the last two, but so far seems a repeat of the last one. Cold sustained air is ALWAYS next week and so is the snow. Boo!

    Last winter same general time, folks kept saying “Yeah, but the winter just started”. At what point to we just say, “Yeah right”?

  32. Bjenks says:

    Wow….another miss by 25 to 100 miles. Still starting out better than last winter. At least we have storms on the horizon. Not going to get into all the hype over the next two. Not going to get into all the hype over the next two…Not going to get into all the hype over the next two….OK….
    Have a nice day everyone!!!!!

  33. rolo says:

    the STEELERS are OLD and on down hill, going have to start from scratch, BIG BEN is 10 years older than he age says.

    STEELERS are done for at least 2-3 years. they got get younger thru draft and maybe trade one of their STUDS as well to get players.

  34. Pam says:

    Will be traveling from eastern Kentucky thru West Virginia tomorrow with destination of Maryland. Anyone have input on what weather/road conditions I may encounter?

    • Jamie says:

      Pam, the roads should be good going that way tomorrow. I am from Frederick, Maryland and my family said the roads are slick now but the snow won’t last too long. Only calling for a few inches. Be safe!

    • Jamie says:

      Ok…I take that back…Frederick county Maryland is under a snow emergency today. Motorists are only allowed to have snow tires or chains on tires. So…I don’t know about the mountains of West Virginia or Maryland.

  35. WendyT says:

    The dome is healthy and strong. I made a huge mistake moving to Kentucky thinking it snows here. This is just miserable weather.

  36. Brandon says:

    Looks like Friday night into Saturday might end up being a good little snow maker for us in Southeastern KY this time around.

  37. Joe T says:

    NAM suppresses the next storm and we go snowless. If the GFS verified at noon I done with winter. Ready for spring….35 and raining is about as nasty as it gets weather wise.

  38. Sandman says:

    Well this one was a bust, lets move on to the next one..I love snow, and cold, and Can’t wait until I retire(7 more years). I am getting me a winter cabin somewhere that it actually gets cold, and snows.. Now just to decide where? Upper peninsula of Michigan is leading at the moment..

    • Chris Mercer says:

      How about the Sierra Mountains of CA?

      • Sandman says:

        I want nothing to do with CA, and would like to stay a little closer to home in case an emergency arises.. If the current laws stay intact colorado maybe my choice, but that is as far west that I would go..

        • tommy says:

          i am in colorado, i have seen more snow in three months here than in 23 combined winters back east…went snow shoeing yesterday about 3-4 feet on the ground near leadville.

  39. WXman says:

    Another cookie for the GFS model. Nailed this forecast days in advance. Temps are into the 40s now. All around us is extreme weather, and we are in the donut hole of misery. More storms just like this coming…

    • Seth says:

      The thing that gets me about the gfs is that it likes to tease us by suddenly changing its track to a more favorable snowy solution 3-4 days out and then going back to its original (and unfortunately correct) snowless solution 1-2 days out.

  40. Lincoln says:

    I’ll be excited to get 1.5-2 inches of snow this evening.. If the WWA pans out lol

  41. endleswavz says:

    The fact that it isn’t even January yet and we are having these discussions is enough to keep me happy! That being said… my good friend is a firefighter for the city of Hot Springs, AR. He sent me some awesome snow pics last night! They got blitzed! If we see a few flakes fly in Central Kentucky the day after Christmas… it will make my Holiday Season!

    Have an awesome day!

  42. Todd says:

    The snow west of Louisville is starting to have lots of holes in the radar, so as the cold catches it in central ky flurries and maybe a dusting at most, I think we are now into extreme forecast instead of extreme results, nothing ever gets close to the hype of every little weather event!

  43. WXman says:

    The AO index is forecast to go way positive. NAO is forecast neutral to slightly positive. This really hurts our hopes for big swings in the weather over the first half of January.

    • Russ says:

      I’ve seen that as well. I think we can stick a fork in this Winter, unless early February can turn. So this makes back to back very mild winters. I’ve not ever bought into the global warming stuff, but I have to think that some long term climate shifts are in play.

    • Bengalfan says:

      That’s great news, so far the models and all inex has said it’s going to be cold,etc,,,it hasn’t yet,,so maybe if it says this,,it will get cold…..

      Actually today has made me quit concern about cold snow,,I’m hanging up on the site, you all have a great holiday and new year, ….he gone

  44. Muddy says:

    Just got a winter weather advisory for McCreary County ??? Radar doesnt look like much is headed our way !

  45. Ryan says:

    Still all rain in Shelbyville

  46. Amandanlouisville says:

    snowing hard in prp . that’s in western Jefferson county , Louisville

  47. Joe T says:

    Well the 12z NAM keeps the next storm to our south, the GFS still puts us in the game……for another cold rain event.

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