Good Thursday to one and all. The winter storm that took a swipe at the bluegrass state continues to move away. With that one in our rearview mirror, we still have two more storms to track over the next several days. Each of these will likely produce snow across Kentucky. The typical questions (where and how much) will be ironed out soon enough.
If you’re only as good as your last forecast… I’m rather mediocre right now. Being among the first in the region to pinpoint a major winter storm from a week away is a big plus. But, the secondary storm across the Mid Atlantic states beat me up a bit by zapping the moisture and energy from the Ohio Valley. Kentucky isn’t alone in dealing with the” under” on snowfall. Much of the buckeye state got a lot less than was being forecast up there.
Regardless of this last storm, the pattern remains very active.
We have some leftover flurries out there today with highs in the low and middle 30s. It’s late Friday into Saturday that we watch a southern tracking storm throw moisture back into our region. You can see this well on the GFS Ensembles…
I just got a look at the European Model and it shows much of a “storm” look to it as it takes a low across the south then bombs it out up the east coast. It is interesting to note, all the models are coming around to a stronger system with each run. As of now… I expect rain and snow to develop on Friday and quickly go to a period of snow Friday night and Saturday morning. Snow showers and flurries would then become widespread during the afternoon and evening as cold air pours in on a northwesterly wind. Again… the typical issues of, where and how much, remain to be answered.
The next storm to watch is for New Year’s Day. The models set up a cold high to the north and a low to our southwest throwing moisture northward into the state. The GFS…
We will take ‘em one at a time and we have to figure out the weekend one before getting too amped up about the one next week.
I will update things later today. Make it a fantastic day and take care.